Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock prediction

Saturday 5 September 2026, 15:00, Pittodrie Stadium

Full time: 0-0

Our prediction

The model gives Aberdeen a 49% chance of winning, 25% for a draw and 27% for Kilmarnock. Expected goals: Aberdeen 1.8, Kilmarnock 1.3. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals37%
Both teams score61%

Most likely scores

  • 1-111.5%
  • 2-19.5%
  • 1-07.4%
  • 2-07.4%
  • 1-26.8%

Recent form

Aberdeen

  • LCeltic 3-0 Aberdeen
  • LAberdeen 0-1 Rangers
  • LDundee 2-0 Aberdeen
  • WAberdeen 2-1 Heart of Midlothian
  • LDundee 3-2 Aberdeen

Kilmarnock

  • LKilmarnock 0-1 St Mirren
  • LKilmarnock 0-4 Dundee United
  • LKilmarnock 1-5 Celtic
  • LSt Johnstone 4-3 Kilmarnock
  • WLivingston 1-4 Kilmarnock

Head to head

  • WAberdeen 1-0 Kilmarnock
  • LKilmarnock 3-0 Aberdeen
  • WAberdeen 2-1 Kilmarnock
  • WKilmarnock 0-1 Aberdeen

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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