Liga MX predictions

Every Liga MX fixture in the next seven days, with the model's probabilities for the result, goals and the most likely score.

Predictions updated 1 Nov, 15:28. Refreshed every hour.


Tomorrow, Monday 2 November

SAN51%Draw25%NCX24%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.559%
Both teams to score
Yes60%
Correct score
1-111%
CAZ64%Draw20%LEO16%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.567%
Both teams to score
Yes61%
Correct score
2-110%

Saturday 7 November

NCX28%Draw27%TIJ45%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.553%
Both teams to score
Yes57%
Correct score
1-113%
ATL38%Draw27%SAN35%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.552%
Both teams to score
Yes57%
Correct score
1-113%

Sunday 8 November

ATS34%Draw28%PAC38%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.550%
Both teams to score
Yes55%
Correct score
1-113%
UANL34%Draw27%CAZ39%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.554%
Both teams to score
Yes58%
Correct score
1-113%
TOL55%Draw23%MTY22%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.564%
Both teams to score
Yes63%
Correct score
1-110%
UNAM39%Draw24%AME37%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.566%
Both teams to score
Yes67%
Correct score
1-110%

Liga MX through the model’s eyes

Liga MX plays two short tournaments a year, Apertura and Clausura, each ending in knockout rounds. Altitude in cities like Mexico City and Toluca is part of why home teams do well. The model rates teams across both tournaments, so form carries over.

Recent Liga MX results and how our picks did

Mon 26 Oct, FTBacktest
Atlas4Puebla3
ATS48%Draw30%PUE22%
Match result (1X2)
Home48%✓
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.561%✗
Both teams to score
No56%✗
Sun 25 Oct, FTBacktest
Pumas UNAM1Tigres UANL1
UNAM41%Draw27%UANL32%
Match result (1X2)
Home41%✗
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.553%✗
Both teams to score
Yes57%✓
Sun 25 Oct, FTBacktest
Monterrey0Guadalajara1
MTY29%Draw27%GDL44%
Match result (1X2)
Away44%✓
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.554%✗
Both teams to score
Yes57%✗
Sun 25 Oct, FTBacktest
León1Toluca1
LEO25%Draw24%TOL51%
Match result (1X2)
Away51%✗
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.561%✗
Both teams to score
Yes62%✓
Sat 24 Oct, FTBacktest
Atlante0Atlético de San Luis1
ATL39%Draw27%ASL34%
Match result (1X2)
Home39%✗
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.553%✗
Both teams to score
Yes57%✗
Sat 24 Oct, FTBacktest
Necaxa1FC Juárez1
NCX52%Draw23%JUA25%
Match result (1X2)
Home52%✗
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.566%✗
Both teams to score
Yes66%✓

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Frequently asked questions

When are Liga MX predictions published?

As soon as a fixture is scheduled, up to a week ahead. They refresh every hour and freeze at kick-off.

How does the model handle the Liguilla?

Knockout games are predicted like league games. Extra time and penalties are not part of any market here.