Brasileirão predictions

Every Brasileirão fixture in the next seven days, with the model's probabilities for the result, goals and the most likely score.

Predictions updated 2 Nov, 17:30. Refreshed every hour.


Tomorrow, Tuesday 3 November

BRA39%Draw28%SAN33%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.551%
Both teams to score
Yes55%
Correct score
1-113%
CHA27%Draw27%MIR47%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.553%
Both teams to score
Yes56%
Correct score
1-113%

Wednesday 4 November

INT48%Draw27%CFC25%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.551%
Both teams to score
Yes53%
Correct score
1-113%
FLA71%Draw19%GRE10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.559%
Both teams to score
No51%
Correct score
2-012%

Thursday 5 November

BOT33%Draw28%CAM38%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.552%
Both teams to score
Yes54%
Correct score
1-114%
SAO43%Draw30%COR28%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.559%
Both teams to score
No53%
Correct score
1-114%
PAL71%Draw20%REMO9%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.552%
Both teams to score
No62%
Correct score
2-015%

Friday 6 November

CRU49%Draw25%BAH26%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.557%
Both teams to score
Yes59%
Correct score
1-112%

Saturday 7 November

VIT27%Draw29%FLU44%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.555%
Both teams to score
Yes51%
Correct score
1-114%

Brasileirão through the model’s eyes

Brazil’s Série A is one of the most competitive top flights in the world: twenty clubs, a packed calendar, long journeys and frequent rotation for cup games. Home advantage is strong and draws are common, so double chance and draw no bet often beat the straight win.

Recent Brasileirão results and how our picks did

Sun 25 Oct, FTBacktest
Santos1Bahia1
SAN47%Draw26%BAH27%
Match result (1X2)
Home47%✗
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.556%✗
Both teams to score
Yes59%✓
Sat 24 Oct, FTBacktest
Chapecoense2Fluminense1
CHA17%Draw22%FLU60%
Match result (1X2)
Away60%✗
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.559%✓
Both teams to score
Yes56%✓
Sat 24 Oct, FTBacktest
Vasco da Gama3Corinthians2
VAS44%Draw29%COR28%
Match result (1X2)
Home44%✓
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.556%✗
Both teams to score
Yes50%✓
Sat 24 Oct, FTBacktest
Palmeiras2Red Bull Bragantino0
PAL63%Draw24%BRA13%
Match result (1X2)
Home63%✓
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.554%✓
Both teams to score
No57%✓
Sat 24 Oct, FTBacktest
Vitória1Athletico-PR1
VIT29%Draw27%CAP44%
Match result (1X2)
Away44%✗
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.551%✗
Both teams to score
Yes56%✓
Sat 24 Oct, FTBacktest
Mirassol1São Paulo1
MIR43%Draw30%SAO27%
Match result (1X2)
Home43%✗
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.560%✓
Both teams to score
No53%✗
Sat 24 Oct, FTBacktest
Internacional3Botafogo0
INT38%Draw29%BOT33%
Match result (1X2)
Home38%✓
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.553%✗
Both teams to score
Yes53%✗
Sat 24 Oct, FTBacktest
Cruzeiro1Remo0
CRU60%Draw22%REMO18%
Match result (1X2)
Home60%✓
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.560%✗
Both teams to score
Yes57%✗

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Frequently asked questions

When are Brasileirão predictions published?

As soon as a fixture is scheduled, up to a week ahead. They refresh every hour and freeze at kick-off.

When does the Brasileirão season run?

It follows the calendar year, from around April to December. The model uses results from the current and previous seasons.