Serie A predictions

Every Serie A fixture in the next seven days, with the model's probabilities for the result, goals and the most likely score.

Predictions updated 2 Nov, 17:30. Refreshed every hour.


Today, Monday 2 November

SAS47%Draw25%FIO28%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.558%
Both teams to score
Yes60%
Correct score
1-112%
ATA59%Draw26%PAR15%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.559%
Both teams to score
No59%
Correct score
1-015%

Friday 6 November

VEN32%Draw30%UDI39%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.558%
Both teams to score
No51%
Correct score
1-114%

Saturday 7 November

CAG24%Draw24%FRO52%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.562%
Both teams to score
Yes63%
Correct score
1-111%
TOR53%Draw26%LEC21%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.550%
Both teams to score
Yes53%
Correct score
1-112%
PAR24%Draw33%BOL43%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.568%
Both teams to score
No61%
Correct score
0-115%
ROMA74%Draw16%SAS10%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.570%
Both teams to score
Yes57%
Correct score
2-010%

Sunday 8 November

NAP41%Draw28%LAZ32%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.550%
Both teams to score
Yes55%
Correct score
1-113%
GEN28%Draw29%MIL43%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.556%
Both teams to score
Yes50%
Correct score
1-114%
MON32%Draw22%ATA46%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.574%
Both teams to score
Yes73%
Correct score
1-18%
INT42%Draw25%COMO33%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.560%
Both teams to score
Yes63%
Correct score
1-112%
FIO23%Draw27%JUV50%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.550%
Both teams to score
Yes53%
Correct score
1-113%

Serie A through the model’s eyes

Serie A has shed its old defensive image, but draws are still more common here than in most top leagues, which matters for 1X2 and draw-no-bet picks. When the draw chip is close to the others, that is the model telling you a draw is a serious outcome, and double chance or draw no bet is often the better way to back the stronger side.

Recent Serie A results and how our picks did

Sun 1 Nov, FT
Juventus2Napoli0
JUV45%Draw27%NAP28%
Match result (1X2)
Home45%✓
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.551%✗
Both teams to score
Yes55%✗
Sun 1 Nov, FT
Lecce1Genoa2
LEC33%Draw32%GEN35%
Match result (1X2)
Away35%✓
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.564%✗
Both teams to score
No55%✗
Sun 1 Nov, FT
Lazio2Cagliari1
LAZ61%Draw25%CAG15%
Match result (1X2)
Home61%✓
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.553%✗
Both teams to score
No55%✗
Sun 1 Nov, FT
Frosinone2Torino0
FRO64%Draw18%TOR18%
Match result (1X2)
Home64%✓
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.578%✗
Both teams to score
Yes71%✗
Sun 25 Oct, FTBacktest
Udinese0AC Milan2
UDI25%Draw27%MIL47%
Match result (1X2)
Away47%✓
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.550%✓
Both teams to score
Yes54%✗
Sun 25 Oct, FTBacktest
Lecce0Juventus2
LEC21%Draw27%JUV52%
Match result (1X2)
Away52%✓
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.555%✓
Both teams to score
No52%✓
Sun 25 Oct, FTBacktest
Genoa1Venezia0
GEN52%Draw26%VEN22%
Match result (1X2)
Home52%✓
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.552%✗
Both teams to score
Yes54%✗
Sun 25 Oct, FTBacktest
Atalanta4Frosinone4
ATA42%Draw26%FRO32%
Match result (1X2)
Home42%✗
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.556%✓
Both teams to score
Yes60%✓
Sun 25 Oct, FTBacktest
Internazionale2Fiorentina1
INT78%Draw14%FIO8%
Match result (1X2)
Home78%✓
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.576%✓
Both teams to score
Yes59%✓
Sat 24 Oct, FTBacktest
Lazio2Parma1
LAZ56%Draw29%PAR14%
Match result (1X2)
Home56%✓
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.568%✗
Both teams to score
No66%✗
Sat 24 Oct, FTBacktest
Napoli3AS Roma3
NAP28%Draw29%ROMA42%
Match result (1X2)
Away42%✗
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.557%✗
Both teams to score
No51%✗
Sat 24 Oct, FTBacktest
Como2Sassuolo0
COMO66%Draw20%SAS14%
Match result (1X2)
Home66%✓
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.561%✗
Both teams to score
Yes55%✗
Sat 24 Oct, FTBacktest
Cagliari0Bologna2
CAG40%Draw31%BOL29%
Match result (1X2)
Home40%✗
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.562%✓
Both teams to score
No55%✓
Fri 23 Oct, FTBacktest
Torino3Monza2
TOR50%Draw22%MON28%
Match result (1X2)
Home50%✓
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.571%✓
Both teams to score
Yes70%✓

Other leagues


Frequently asked questions

When are Serie A predictions published?

As soon as a fixture is scheduled, up to a week ahead. They refresh every hour and freeze at kick-off.

Why do so many Serie A predictions favour double chance?

Because draws are common. When neither side is clearly stronger, covering two outcomes is the higher-probability call.

Do you cover Serie B?

Not yet. We only publish leagues where we have enough results for reliable ratings.