Championship predictions

Every Championship fixture in the next seven days, with the model's probabilities for the result, goals and the most likely score.

Predictions updated 2 Nov, 17:30. Refreshed every hour.


Tomorrow, Tuesday 3 November

DER36%Draw26%NOR38%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.558%
Both teams to score
Yes61%
Correct score
1-112%
POR35%Draw30%SWA35%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.557%
Both teams to score
No51%
Correct score
1-114%
WAT40%Draw28%LCN32%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.550%
Both teams to score
Yes55%
Correct score
1-113%
BIR45%Draw28%MIL28%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.551%
Both teams to score
Yes54%
Correct score
1-113%

Wednesday 4 November

WXM30%Draw26%MID44%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.558%
Both teams to score
Yes61%
Correct score
1-112%

Friday 6 November

Saturday 7 November

BRC37%Draw27%NOR35%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.552%
Both teams to score
Yes57%
Correct score
1-113%
POR41%Draw30%STK29%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.558%
Both teams to score
No52%
Correct score
1-114%
CAR53%Draw24%BUR24%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.563%
Both teams to score
Yes63%
Correct score
1-111%
WAT20%Draw24%MID56%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.556%
Both teams to score
Yes56%
Correct score
1-111%

Championship through the model’s eyes

The Championship is a long, crowded season of 46 games, with midweek rounds, tight margins and plenty of draws. Teams that have just come down from the Premier League often start as favourites, and the model learns quickly whether they deserve it. Recent form counts for a lot here because squads change so much between seasons.

Recent Championship results and how our picks did

Sat 24 Oct, FTBacktest
Wolverhampton Wanderers1Watford0
WOL56%Draw26%WAT19%
Match result (1X2)
Home56%✓
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.551%✓
Both teams to score
Yes50%✗
Sat 24 Oct, FTBacktest
West Ham United2Southampton3
WHU46%Draw25%SOU30%
Match result (1X2)
Home46%✗
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.562%✓
Both teams to score
Yes63%✓
Sat 24 Oct, FTBacktest
Stoke City0Bristol City0
STK45%Draw28%BRC27%
Match result (1X2)
Home45%✗
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.554%✓
Both teams to score
Yes51%✗
Sat 24 Oct, FTBacktest
Queens Park Rangers5Swansea City0
QPR35%Draw29%SWA35%
Match result (1X2)
Home35%✓
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.555%✗
Both teams to score
Yes51%✗
Sat 24 Oct, FTBacktest
Lincoln City4Burnley1
LCN34%Draw27%BUR39%
Match result (1X2)
Away39%✗
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.552%✓
Both teams to score
Yes57%✓
Sat 24 Oct, FTBacktest
Cardiff City1Birmingham City0
CAR38%Draw26%BIR36%
Match result (1X2)
Home38%✓
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.557%✗
Both teams to score
Yes61%✗
Sat 24 Oct, FTBacktest
Blackburn Rovers2Wrexham0
BLK39%Draw28%WXM33%
Match result (1X2)
Home39%✓
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.550%✓
Both teams to score
Yes55%✗
Sat 24 Oct, FTBacktest
Sheffield United1Derby County1
SHU51%Draw25%DER24%
Match result (1X2)
Home51%✗
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.555%✗
Both teams to score
Yes57%✓
Sat 24 Oct, FTBacktest
Portsmouth2Millwall1
POR34%Draw28%MIL38%
Match result (1X2)
Away38%✗
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.552%✗
Both teams to score
Yes54%✓
Sat 24 Oct, FTBacktest
Charlton Athletic1Norwich City3
CHA32%Draw29%NOR39%
Match result (1X2)
Away39%✓
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.555%✗
Both teams to score
Yes51%✓
Fri 23 Oct, FTBacktest
Bolton Wanderers1Middlesbrough5
BOL33%Draw26%MID41%
Match result (1X2)
Away41%✓
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.557%✓
Both teams to score
Yes61%✓

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Frequently asked questions

When are Championship predictions published?

As soon as a fixture is scheduled, up to a week ahead. They refresh every hour and freeze at kick-off.

Why are Championship predictions less confident?

The league is very even, so win probabilities rarely climb as high as in the top divisions. Draws and double chance are often the stronger calls.