Eredivisie predictions

Every Eredivisie fixture in the next seven days, with the model's probabilities for the result, goals and the most likely score.

Predictions updated 1 Nov, 15:28. Refreshed every hour.


Today, Sunday 1 November

EXC26%Draw26%TWE48%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.553%
Both teams to score
Yes56%
Correct score
1-112%
TEL43%Draw25%UTR32%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.564%
Both teams to score
Yes65%
Correct score
1-111%

Friday 6 November

WIL28%Draw23%PEC49%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.568%
Both teams to score
Yes68%
Correct score
1-110%

Saturday 7 November

FOR48%Draw25%TEL27%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.560%
Both teams to score
Yes62%
Correct score
1-111%
EXC46%Draw24%GAE30%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.565%
Both teams to score
Yes66%
Correct score
1-110%

Sunday 8 November

TWE44%Draw26%AJA30%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.555%
Both teams to score
Yes59%
Correct score
1-112%

Eredivisie through the model’s eyes

The Eredivisie is one of the highest-scoring leagues in Europe, with attacking young teams and large gaps between the top three and the bottom of the table. That combination makes it a favourite for over 2.5 and both-teams-to-score punters. The model accounts for it automatically, and also for how the leading Dutch sides perform when they step up against stronger opposition in Europe.

Recent Eredivisie results and how our picks did

Sun 25 Oct, FTBacktest
AZ Alkmaar0FC Twente2
AZ39%Draw28%TWE34%
Match result (1X2)
Home39%✗
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.551%✗
Both teams to score
Yes56%✗
Sun 25 Oct, FTBacktest
Sparta Rotterdam1Ajax Amsterdam2
SPA20%Draw21%AJA58%
Match result (1X2)
Away58%✓
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.568%✓
Both teams to score
Yes65%✓
Sun 25 Oct, FTBacktest
NEC Nijmegen2FC Groningen2
NEC42%Draw24%GRO34%
Match result (1X2)
Home42%✗
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.567%✓
Both teams to score
Yes68%✓
Sun 25 Oct, FTBacktest
Fortuna Sittard1Excelsior0
FOR44%Draw25%EXC31%
Match result (1X2)
Home44%✓
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.563%✗
Both teams to score
Yes65%✗
Sat 24 Oct, FTBacktest
ADO Den Haag2Heerenveen3
ADO30%Draw26%HEE44%
Match result (1X2)
Away44%✓
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.557%✓
Both teams to score
Yes60%✓
Sat 24 Oct, FTBacktest
Willem II1SC Cambuur6
WIL32%Draw23%CAM45%
Match result (1X2)
Away45%✓
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.570%✓
Both teams to score
Yes70%✓
Sat 24 Oct, FTBacktest
FC Utrecht1PEC Zwolle1
UTR61%Draw20%PEC19%
Match result (1X2)
Home61%✗
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.569%✗
Both teams to score
Yes65%✓
Fri 23 Oct, FTBacktest
Go Ahead Eagles3Telstar2
GAE49%Draw24%TEL27%
Match result (1X2)
Home49%✓
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.564%✓
Both teams to score
Yes65%✓

Other leagues


Frequently asked questions

When are Eredivisie predictions published?

As soon as a fixture is scheduled, up to a week ahead. They refresh every hour and freeze at kick-off.

Is the Eredivisie good for goals markets?

Yes. It consistently averages more goals per game than the big five leagues, and the model's over/under probabilities reflect that.

How do Dutch results in Europe affect the ratings?

All competitions feed one model, so European results help calibrate how strong Eredivisie teams are compared with other leagues.