Correct score predictions

Every match in the next three days, strongest pick first.

Predictions updated 1 Nov, 15:28. Refreshed every hour.

Strongest pick first. Fair odds are 1 divided by the probability: if a bookmaker offers more than this, the model sees value.

Sun 1 Nov, 22:30Liga Profesional

Belgrano (Córdoba)Barracas Central

BEL43%Draw35%BAR22%

Correct score: 0-020%Fair odds 5.10
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.576%
Both teams to score: No68%

Mon 2 Nov, 00:45Liga Profesional

LanúsGimnasia (Mendoza)

LAN52%Draw29%GMZ18%

Correct score: 1-016%Fair odds 6.38
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.564%
Both teams to score: No60%

Mon 2 Nov, 20:45Serie A

AtalantaParma

ATA59%Draw26%PAR15%

Correct score: 1-015%Fair odds 6.56
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.559%
Both teams to score: No59%

Tue 3 Nov, 01:15Liga Profesional

Atlético TucumánArgentinos Juniors

CAT26%Draw33%ARGJ41%

Correct score: 0-015%Fair odds 6.59
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.569%
Both teams to score: No61%

Sun 1 Nov, 18:00Serie A

LecceGenoa

LEC33%Draw32%GEN35%

Correct score: 1-115%Fair odds 6.88
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.564%
Both teams to score: No55%

Mon 2 Nov, 18:00Süper Lig

GenclerbirligiAlanyaspor

GEN33%Draw31%ALA36%

Correct score: 1-114%Fair odds 6.93
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.561%
Both teams to score: No54%

Tue 3 Nov, 20:45Championship

PortsmouthSwansea City

POR35%Draw30%SWA35%

Correct score: 1-114%Fair odds 7.07
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.557%
Both teams to score: No51%

Tue 3 Nov, 20:45Championship

Blackburn RoversStoke City

BLK39%Draw30%STK31%

Correct score: 1-114%Fair odds 7.09
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.558%
Both teams to score: No51%

Mon 2 Nov, 21:15Primeira Liga

Gil VicenteVitória de Guimaraes

GVFC44%Draw31%VSC25%

Correct score: 1-114%Fair odds 7.11
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.563%
Both teams to score: No56%

Mon 2 Nov, 23:00Liga Profesional

Defensa y JusticiaIndependiente

DYJ43%Draw29%IND27%

Correct score: 1-114%Fair odds 7.24
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.557%
Both teams to score: No51%

Mon 2 Nov, 23:00Liga Profesional

PlatenseCentral Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)

PLA47%Draw30%CTR24%

Correct score: 1-114%Fair odds 7.24
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.561%
Both teams to score: No55%

Sun 1 Nov, 22:30MLS

Nashville SCRed Bull New York

NSH71%Draw20%RBNY10%

Correct score: 2-014%Fair odds 7.25
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.554%
Both teams to score: No56%

Sun 1 Nov, 21:30Primeira Liga

BragaFC Famalicao

SCB44%Draw29%FCF27%

Correct score: 1-114%Fair odds 7.28
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.556%
Both teams to score: No50%

Sun 1 Nov, 17:30Premier League

LiverpoolArsenal

LIV25%Draw29%ARS46%

Correct score: 1-114%Fair odds 7.37
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.556%
Both teams to score: No51%

Sun 1 Nov, 19:00Liga Profesional

Boca JuniorsRiver Plate

CABJ48%Draw29%RIV24%

Correct score: 1-114%Fair odds 7.41
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.557%
Both teams to score: No52%

Mon 2 Nov, 20:45Ligue 1

LorientBrest

LOR46%Draw28%BRE26%

Correct score: 1-113%Fair odds 7.42
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.555%
Both teams to score: Yes50%

Tue 3 Nov, 00:00Brasileirão

Red Bull BragantinoSantos

BRA39%Draw28%SAN33%

Correct score: 1-113%Fair odds 7.46
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.551%
Both teams to score: Yes55%

Sun 1 Nov, 22:30Liga Profesional

Newell's Old BoysUnión (Santa Fe)

NOB39%Draw28%USF32%

Correct score: 1-113%Fair odds 7.46
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.551%
Both teams to score: Yes54%

Tue 3 Nov, 21:00Championship

West Bromwich AlbionSouthampton

WBA27%Draw28%SOU45%

Correct score: 1-113%Fair odds 7.49
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.553%
Both teams to score: Yes52%

Tue 3 Nov, 20:45Championship

WatfordLincoln City

WAT40%Draw28%LCN32%

Correct score: 1-113%Fair odds 7.56
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.550%
Both teams to score: Yes55%

Tue 3 Nov, 21:00Championship

Birmingham CityMillwall

BIR45%Draw28%MIL28%

Correct score: 1-113%Fair odds 7.59
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.551%
Both teams to score: Yes54%

Tue 3 Nov, 20:45Championship

Charlton AthleticBolton Wanderers

CHA38%Draw28%BOL34%

Correct score: 1-113%Fair odds 7.60
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.551%
Both teams to score: Yes56%

Sun 1 Nov, 19:00Primeira Liga

MaritimoSanta Clara

MAR25%Draw27%CDSC47%

Correct score: 1-113%Fair odds 7.62
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.552%
Both teams to score: Yes52%

Mon 2 Nov, 03:45MLS

Portland TimbersHouston Dynamo FC

POR39%Draw28%HOU33%

Correct score: 1-113%Fair odds 7.63
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.551%
Both teams to score: Yes56%

Sun 1 Nov, 17:00Süper Lig

KasimpasaBesiktas

KAS29%Draw27%BES44%

Correct score: 1-113%Fair odds 7.66
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.550%
Both teams to score: Yes55%

Sun 1 Nov, 18:30La Liga

ElcheValencia

ELC48%Draw27%VAL24%

Correct score: 1-113%Fair odds 7.67
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.552%
Both teams to score: Yes52%

Sun 1 Nov, 17:15Ligue 1

Paris FCAS Monaco

PAR42%Draw27%MON30%

Correct score: 1-113%Fair odds 7.70
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.552%
Both teams to score: Yes56%

Wed 4 Nov, 01:30Brasileirão

InternacionalCoritiba

INT48%Draw27%CFC25%

Correct score: 1-113%Fair odds 7.70
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.551%
Both teams to score: Yes53%

Sun 1 Nov, 20:45Serie A

JuventusNapoli

JUV45%Draw27%NAP28%

Correct score: 1-113%Fair odds 7.71
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.551%
Both teams to score: Yes55%

Sun 1 Nov, 15:30Bundesliga

1. FC Union BerlinFC Cologne

FCU42%Draw27%KOE31%

Correct score: 1-113%Fair odds 7.82
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.553%
Both teams to score: Yes57%

Sun 1 Nov, 17:15Ligue 1

LyonAngers

LYON67%Draw21%ANG12%

Correct score: 2-013%Fair odds 7.91
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.554%
Both teams to score: No53%

Mon 2 Nov, 21:00Premier League

Newcastle UnitedEverton

NEW48%Draw27%EVE26%

Correct score: 1-113%Fair odds 7.92
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.552%
Both teams to score: Yes55%

Mon 2 Nov, 21:00La Liga

DeportivoOsasuna

DEP51%Draw26%OSA22%

Correct score: 1-113%Fair odds 7.93
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.550%
Both teams to score: Yes52%

Tue 3 Nov, 23:30Brasileirão

ChapecoenseMirassol

CHA27%Draw26%MIR47%

Correct score: 1-113%Fair odds 7.96
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.553%
Both teams to score: Yes56%

Tue 3 Nov, 20:45Championship

Preston North EndSheffield United

PNE26%Draw26%SHU48%

Correct score: 1-113%Fair odds 7.99
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.553%
Both teams to score: Yes56%

Tue 3 Nov, 21:00Champions League

Bodo/GlimtLille

BODO49%Draw26%LILL25%

Correct score: 1-112%Fair odds 8.17
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.554%
Both teams to score: Yes57%

Sun 1 Nov, 16:30Primeira Liga

AroucaC.D. Nacional

FCA55%Draw25%CDN20%

Correct score: 1-112%Fair odds 8.22
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.551%
Both teams to score: Yes52%

Sun 1 Nov, 19:00Primeira Liga

Académico de ViseuRio Ave

ACV71%Draw19%RAFC10%

Correct score: 2-012%Fair odds 8.22
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.559%
Both teams to score: No51%

Tue 3 Nov, 20:45Championship

Derby CountyNorwich City

DER36%Draw26%NOR38%

Correct score: 1-112%Fair odds 8.25
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.558%
Both teams to score: Yes61%

Tue 3 Nov, 01:15Liga Profesional

Independiente RivadaviaBanfield

RIV50%Draw25%BAN25%

Correct score: 1-112%Fair odds 8.37
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.556%
Both teams to score: Yes58%

Mon 2 Nov, 18:30Serie A

SassuoloFiorentina

SAS47%Draw26%FIO28%

Correct score: 1-112%Fair odds 8.40
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.557%
Both teams to score: Yes60%

Sun 1 Nov, 22:30MLS

Atlanta United FCToronto FC

ATL39%Draw26%TOR36%

Correct score: 1-112%Fair odds 8.50
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.559%
Both teams to score: Yes63%

Sun 1 Nov, 21:30MLS

Vancouver WhitecapsSeattle Sounders FC

VAN60%Draw24%SEA16%

Correct score: 1-012%Fair odds 8.57
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.550%
Both teams to score: No51%

Mon 2 Nov, 00:00Liga MX

SantosNecaxa

SAN51%Draw25%NCX24%

Correct score: 1-111%Fair odds 8.76
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.559%
Both teams to score: Yes60%

Sun 1 Nov, 17:30Bundesliga

Eintracht FrankfurtHamburg SV

SGE48%Draw25%HSV28%

Correct score: 1-111%Fair odds 8.77
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.560%
Both teams to score: Yes62%

Mon 2 Nov, 21:15Primeira Liga

BenficaAlverca

SLB77%Draw15%ALV8%

Correct score: 2-011%Fair odds 8.79
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.567%
Both teams to score: Yes51%

Tue 3 Nov, 21:00Champions League

Manchester UnitedAS Roma

MAN34%Draw25%ROMA41%

Correct score: 1-111%Fair odds 8.83
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.562%
Both teams to score: Yes64%

Sun 1 Nov, 21:00La Liga

Athletic ClubReal Sociedad

ATH37%Draw25%RSO38%

Correct score: 1-111%Fair odds 8.97
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.563%
Both teams to score: Yes65%

Sun 1 Nov, 20:45Ligue 1

MarseilleToulouse

OLM48%Draw24%TOU27%

Correct score: 1-111%Fair odds 9.12
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.562%
Both teams to score: Yes63%

Mon 2 Nov, 02:30MLS

LAFCMinnesota United FC

LAFC57%Draw23%MIN19%

Correct score: 1-111%Fair odds 9.23
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.559%
Both teams to score: Yes58%

Tue 3 Nov, 20:45Championship

Queens Park RangersBurnley

QPR55%Draw23%BUR22%

Correct score: 1-111%Fair odds 9.28
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.561%
Both teams to score: Yes60%

Mon 2 Nov, 02:10Liga MX

Cruz AzulLeón

CAZ64%Draw20%LEO16%

Correct score: 2-110%Fair odds 10.36
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.567%
Both teams to score: Yes61%

Tue 3 Nov, 21:00Champions League

VillarrealParis Saint-Germain

VIL23%Draw22%PSG55%

Correct score: 1-19%Fair odds 10.59
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.568%
Both teams to score: Yes66%

Sun 1 Nov, 16:45Eredivisie

FC GroningenSparta Rotterdam

GRO63%Draw20%SPA17%

Correct score: 2-19%Fair odds 10.60
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.570%
Both teams to score: Yes64%

Tue 3 Nov, 21:00Champions League

Feyenoord RotterdamInternazionale

FEY40%Draw23%INT37%

Correct score: 1-19%Fair odds 10.83
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.571%
Both teams to score: Yes71%

Tue 3 Nov, 21:00Champions League

Atlético MadridBayern Munich

ATM31%Draw23%MUN46%

Correct score: 1-19%Fair odds 10.94
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.571%
Both teams to score: Yes71%

Mon 2 Nov, 01:00MLS

New England RevolutionInter Miami CF

NE39%Draw23%MIA38%

Correct score: 1-19%Fair odds 11.06
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.572%
Both teams to score: Yes72%

Tue 3 Nov, 18:45Champions League

GalatasarayVfB Stuttgart

GAL49%Draw22%VFB29%

Correct score: 1-19%Fair odds 11.09
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.571%
Both teams to score: Yes70%

Tue 3 Nov, 21:00Champions League

BarcelonaAston Villa

BAR60%Draw20%AVL21%

Correct score: 2-19%Fair odds 11.42
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.575%
Both teams to score: Yes71%

Sun 1 Nov, 16:15La Liga

Racing SantanderReal Madrid

RAC9%Draw12%RMA79%

Correct score: 1-38%Fair odds 12.50
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.583%
Both teams to score: Yes66%

About this market

The correct score is the hardest bet in football. Even the most likely scoreline in a match rarely has more than a 15% chance, which is why the odds are long. Our tip is the single most likely score from the model’s grid of probabilities, and each match page lists the five most likely scores. Use it to find value, not as a likely winner.

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Frequently asked questions

How accurate are correct score predictions?

The most likely score usually has a 10 to 15% chance, so expect roughly one hit in eight to ten picks. Our track record shows the real figure.

What is the most common score in football?

1-1 and 1-0 are the most common results across Europe's top leagues, which is why they appear so often as the model's top pick.