Match result (1X2) predictions

Every match in the next three days, strongest pick first.

Predictions updated 2 Nov, 17:30. Refreshed every hour.

Strongest pick first. Fair odds are 1 divided by the probability: if a bookmaker offers more than this, the model sees value.

Mon 2 Nov, 21:15Primeira Liga

BenficaAlverca

SLB77%Draw15%ALV8%

Match result (1X2): Home77%Fair odds 1.29
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.567%
Both teams to score: Yes51%

Wed 4 Nov, 21:00Champions League

Slavia PragueArsenal

SLP7%Draw18%ARS75%

Match result (1X2): Away75%Fair odds 1.33
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.554%
Both teams to score: No60%

Wed 4 Nov, 23:30Brasileirão

FlamengoGrêmio

FLA71%Draw19%GRE10%

Match result (1X2): Home71%Fair odds 1.41
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.559%
Both teams to score: No51%

Wed 4 Nov, 21:00Champions League

PSV EindhovenClub Brugge

PSV61%Draw18%BRU21%

Match result (1X2): Home61%Fair odds 1.63
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.583%
Both teams to score: Yes77%

Tue 3 Nov, 21:00Champions League

BarcelonaAston Villa

BAR60%Draw20%AVL21%

Match result (1X2): Home60%Fair odds 1.67
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.575%
Both teams to score: Yes71%

Mon 2 Nov, 20:45Serie A

AtalantaParma

ATA59%Draw26%PAR15%

Match result (1X2): Home59%Fair odds 1.68
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.559%
Both teams to score: No59%

Wed 4 Nov, 21:00Champions League

FC PortoNapoli

FCP58%Draw25%NAP17%

Match result (1X2): Home58%Fair odds 1.74
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.552%
Both teams to score: No52%

Tue 3 Nov, 20:45Championship

Queens Park RangersBurnley

QPR55%Draw23%BUR22%

Match result (1X2): Home55%Fair odds 1.81
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.561%
Both teams to score: Yes60%

Tue 3 Nov, 21:00Champions League

VillarrealParis Saint-Germain

VIL23%Draw22%PSG55%

Match result (1X2): Away55%Fair odds 1.82
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.568%
Both teams to score: Yes66%

Wed 4 Nov, 23:30Brasileirão

Athletico-PRVasco da Gama

CAP54%Draw24%VAS22%

Match result (1X2): Home54%Fair odds 1.84
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.560%
Both teams to score: Yes60%

Mon 2 Nov, 21:00La Liga

DeportivoOsasuna

DEP51%Draw26%OSA22%

Match result (1X2): Home51%Fair odds 1.95
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.551%
Both teams to score: Yes52%

Wed 4 Nov, 21:00Champions League

Borussia DortmundReal Betis

DOR50%Draw26%BET24%

Match result (1X2): Home50%Fair odds 1.99
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.553%
Both teams to score: Yes56%

Tue 3 Nov, 01:15Liga Profesional

Independiente RivadaviaBanfield

RIV50%Draw25%BAN25%

Match result (1X2): Home50%Fair odds 2.01
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.556%
Both teams to score: Yes58%

Tue 3 Nov, 18:45Champions League

GalatasarayVfB Stuttgart

GAL49%Draw22%VFB28%

Match result (1X2): Home49%Fair odds 2.03
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.571%
Both teams to score: Yes70%

Tue 3 Nov, 21:00Champions League

Bodo/GlimtLille

BODO49%Draw26%LILL25%

Match result (1X2): Home49%Fair odds 2.03
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.554%
Both teams to score: Yes57%

Wed 4 Nov, 21:00Champions League

RB LeipzigManchester City

RBL29%Draw23%MNC48%

Match result (1X2): Away48%Fair odds 2.09
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.567%
Both teams to score: Yes68%

Mon 2 Nov, 21:00Premier League

Newcastle UnitedEverton

NEW48%Draw26%EVE26%

Match result (1X2): Home48%Fair odds 2.09
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.552%
Both teams to score: Yes56%

Wed 4 Nov, 01:30Brasileirão

InternacionalCoritiba

INT48%Draw27%CFC25%

Match result (1X2): Home48%Fair odds 2.09
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.551%
Both teams to score: Yes53%

Tue 3 Nov, 20:45Championship

Preston North EndSheffield United

PNE26%Draw26%SHU48%

Match result (1X2): Away48%Fair odds 2.10
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.553%
Both teams to score: Yes56%

Mon 2 Nov, 18:30Serie A

SassuoloFiorentina

SAS47%Draw25%FIO28%

Match result (1X2): Home47%Fair odds 2.13
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.558%
Both teams to score: Yes60%

Tue 3 Nov, 23:30Brasileirão

ChapecoenseMirassol

CHA27%Draw27%MIR47%

Match result (1X2): Away47%Fair odds 2.13
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.553%
Both teams to score: Yes56%

Mon 2 Nov, 23:00Liga Profesional

PlatenseCentral Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)

PLA47%Draw30%CTR24%

Match result (1X2): Home47%Fair odds 2.14
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.561%
Both teams to score: No55%

Mon 2 Nov, 20:45Ligue 1

LorientBrest

LOR46%Draw28%BRE25%

Match result (1X2): Home46%Fair odds 2.16
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.555%
Both teams to score: Yes50%

Wed 4 Nov, 20:45Championship

Cardiff CityWest Ham United

CAR30%Draw23%WHU46%

Match result (1X2): Away46%Fair odds 2.17
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.568%
Both teams to score: Yes68%

Tue 3 Nov, 21:00Champions League

Atlético MadridBayern Munich

ATM31%Draw23%MUN46%

Match result (1X2): Away46%Fair odds 2.17
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.571%
Both teams to score: Yes71%

Thu 5 Nov, 16:10Saudi Pro League

AbhaAl Shabab

ABH26%Draw29%SHA46%

Match result (1X2): Away46%Fair odds 2.19
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.556%
Both teams to score: No50%

Tue 3 Nov, 21:00Championship

Birmingham CityMillwall

BIR45%Draw28%MIL28%

Match result (1X2): Home45%Fair odds 2.23
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.551%
Both teams to score: Yes54%

Tue 3 Nov, 21:00Championship

West Bromwich AlbionSouthampton

WBA27%Draw28%SOU45%

Match result (1X2): Away45%Fair odds 2.23
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.553%
Both teams to score: Yes52%

Wed 4 Nov, 21:00Champions League

LensComo

RCL29%Draw26%COMO44%

Match result (1X2): Away44%Fair odds 2.25
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.555%
Both teams to score: Yes58%

Mon 2 Nov, 21:15Primeira Liga

Gil VicenteVitória de Guimaraes

GVFC44%Draw31%VSC25%

Match result (1X2): Home44%Fair odds 2.25
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.563%
Both teams to score: No56%

Wed 4 Nov, 20:45Championship

WrexhamMiddlesbrough

WXM30%Draw26%MID44%

Match result (1X2): Away44%Fair odds 2.26
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.558%
Both teams to score: Yes61%

Mon 2 Nov, 23:00Liga Profesional

Defensa y JusticiaIndependiente

DYJ44%Draw29%IND27%

Match result (1X2): Home44%Fair odds 2.30
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.557%
Both teams to score: No51%

Thu 5 Nov, 01:30Brasileirão

São PauloCorinthians

SAO43%Draw30%COR28%

Match result (1X2): Home43%Fair odds 2.35
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.559%
Both teams to score: No53%

Wed 4 Nov, 18:45Champions League

FenerbahceLiverpool

FEN35%Draw24%LIV41%

Match result (1X2): Away41%Fair odds 2.42
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.566%
Both teams to score: Yes67%

Tue 3 Nov, 01:15Liga Profesional

Atlético TucumánArgentinos Juniors

CAT26%Draw33%ARGJ41%

Match result (1X2): Away41%Fair odds 2.43
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.569%
Both teams to score: No61%

Tue 3 Nov, 21:00Champions League

Manchester UnitedAS Roma

MAN34%Draw25%ROMA41%

Match result (1X2): Away41%Fair odds 2.46
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.562%
Both teams to score: Yes64%

Thu 5 Nov, 14:25Saudi Pro League

Al KholoodAl Khaleej

KHO40%Draw25%KHA35%

Match result (1X2): Home40%Fair odds 2.47
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.563%
Both teams to score: Yes66%

Tue 3 Nov, 20:45Championship

WatfordLincoln City

WAT40%Draw28%LCN32%

Match result (1X2): Home40%Fair odds 2.49
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.550%
Both teams to score: Yes55%

Tue 3 Nov, 21:00Champions League

Feyenoord RotterdamInternazionale

FEY40%Draw23%INT37%

Match result (1X2): Home40%Fair odds 2.51
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.571%
Both teams to score: Yes71%

Wed 4 Nov, 16:30Europa League

Stade RennaisOlympiacos

REN40%Draw27%OLY33%

Match result (1X2): Home40%Fair odds 2.53
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.552%
Both teams to score: Yes57%

Tue 3 Nov, 20:45Championship

Blackburn RoversStoke City

BLK39%Draw30%STK31%

Match result (1X2): Home39%Fair odds 2.56
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.558%
Both teams to score: No51%

Tue 3 Nov, 00:00Brasileirão

Red Bull BragantinoSantos

BRA39%Draw28%SAN33%

Match result (1X2): Home39%Fair odds 2.58
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.551%
Both teams to score: Yes55%

Thu 5 Nov, 01:30Brasileirão

BotafogoAtlético-MG

BOT33%Draw28%CAM38%

Match result (1X2): Away38%Fair odds 2.60
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.552%
Both teams to score: Yes54%

Tue 3 Nov, 20:45Championship

Derby CountyNorwich City

DER36%Draw26%NOR38%

Match result (1X2): Away38%Fair odds 2.61
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.558%
Both teams to score: Yes61%

Tue 3 Nov, 20:45Championship

Charlton AthleticBolton Wanderers

CHA38%Draw28%BOL34%

Match result (1X2): Home38%Fair odds 2.63
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.551%
Both teams to score: Yes56%

Wed 4 Nov, 21:00Championship

Bristol CityWolverhampton Wanderers

BRC37%Draw30%WOL33%

Match result (1X2): Home37%Fair odds 2.72
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.557%
Both teams to score: No51%

Mon 2 Nov, 18:00Süper Lig

GenclerbirligiAlanyaspor

GEN34%Draw31%ALA35%

Match result (1X2): Away35%Fair odds 2.83
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.562%
Both teams to score: No54%

Tue 3 Nov, 20:45Championship

PortsmouthSwansea City

POR35%Draw30%SWA35%

Match result (1X2): Away35%Fair odds 2.85
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.557%
Both teams to score: No51%

About this market

1X2 is the classic match-result bet: 1 is a home win, X a draw, 2 an away win. It is also the hardest market to get right, because three outcomes split the probability and even strong favourites rarely go above 70%. Our tip is simply the most likely of the three. When the gap between the top two outcomes is small, consider double chance or draw no bet instead.

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Frequently asked questions

What does 1X2 mean in betting?

1 means the home team wins, X means a draw and 2 means the away team wins. The bet is settled on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

Why do you rarely tip the draw?

A draw is seldom the single most likely outcome, even in close games. When it is, we tip it.