MLS predictions

Every MLS fixture in the next seven days, with the model's probabilities for the result, goals and the most likely score.

Predictions updated 1 Nov, 15:28. Refreshed every hour.


Today, Sunday 1 November

Tomorrow, Monday 2 November

LAFC57%Draw23%MIN19%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.559%
Both teams to score
Yes58%
Correct score
1-111%

Saturday 7 November

Sunday 8 November

DAL50%Draw26%COL24%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.555%
Both teams to score
Yes57%
Correct score
1-112%
RSL47%Draw24%LA29%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.563%
Both teams to score
Yes64%
Correct score
1-111%
SEA32%Draw31%LAFC38%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.560%
Both teams to score
No53%
Correct score
1-114%

MLS through the model’s eyes

MLS is built for parity: a salary cap, no relegation and long travel between cities make results harder to call than in most European leagues. Home advantage is significant because of the distances involved. The season runs from late winter to the autumn playoffs.

Recent MLS results and how our picks did

Sun 25 Oct, FTBacktest
Portland Timbers3Charlotte FC2
POR35%Draw24%CLT41%
Match result (1X2)
Away41%✗
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.567%✓
Both teams to score
Yes68%✓
Sun 25 Oct, FTBacktest
Sporting Kansas City1Austin FC2
SKC35%Draw24%ATX41%
Match result (1X2)
Away41%✓
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.567%✓
Both teams to score
Yes68%✓
Sun 25 Oct, FTBacktest
FC Dallas3San Jose Earthquakes0
DAL48%Draw24%SJ28%
Match result (1X2)
Home48%✓
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.564%✓
Both teams to score
Yes65%✗
Sun 25 Oct, FTBacktest
D.C. United0FC Cincinnati2
DC42%Draw22%CIN36%
Match result (1X2)
Home42%✗
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.575%✗
Both teams to score
Yes74%✗
Sat 24 Oct, FTBacktest
Red Bull New York2Inter Miami CF0
RBNY21%Draw21%MIA59%
Match result (1X2)
Away59%✗
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.572%✗
Both teams to score
Yes68%✗
Sat 24 Oct, FTBacktest
Columbus Crew4Toronto FC2
CLB48%Draw25%TOR27%
Match result (1X2)
Home48%✓
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.560%✓
Both teams to score
Yes62%✓
Sat 24 Oct, FTBacktest
CF Montréal0Nashville SC2
MTL13%Draw22%NSH65%
Match result (1X2)
Away65%✓
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.552%✗
Both teams to score
No53%✓

Other leagues


Frequently asked questions

When are MLS predictions published?

As soon as a fixture is scheduled, up to a week ahead. They refresh every hour and freeze at kick-off.

Do MLS predictions include the playoffs?

Yes. Playoff games are predicted like any other match, settled on 90 minutes plus stoppage time.