Draw no bet predictions

Every match in the next three days, strongest pick first.

Predictions updated 1 Nov, 15:28. Refreshed every hour.


Strongest pick first. Fair odds are 1 divided by the probability: if a bookmaker offers more than this, the model sees value.

Primeira Liga
BenficaAlverca
SLB77%Draw15%ALV8%
Draw no bet
Home91%Fair odds 1.10
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.567%
Both teams to score
Yes51%
La Liga
Racing SantanderReal Madrid
RAC9%Draw12%RMA79%
Draw no bet
Away90%Fair odds 1.11
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.583%
Both teams to score
Yes66%
NSH71%Draw20%RBNY10%
Draw no bet
Home88%Fair odds 1.13
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.554%
Both teams to score
No56%
Primeira Liga
Académico de ViseuRio Ave
ACV71%Draw19%RAFC10%
Draw no bet
Home87%Fair odds 1.15
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.559%
Both teams to score
No51%
Ligue 1
LyonAngers
LYON67%Draw21%ANG12%
Draw no bet
Home85%Fair odds 1.18
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.554%
Both teams to score
No53%
Liga MX
Cruz AzulLeón
CAZ64%Draw20%LEO16%
Draw no bet
Home80%Fair odds 1.25
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.567%
Both teams to score
Yes61%
Serie A
AtalantaParma
ATA59%Draw26%PAR15%
Draw no bet
Home80%Fair odds 1.25
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.559%
Both teams to score
No59%
Eredivisie
FC GroningenSparta Rotterdam
GRO63%Draw20%SPA17%
Draw no bet
Home79%Fair odds 1.27
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.570%
Both teams to score
Yes64%
MLS
LAFCMinnesota United FC
LAFC57%Draw23%MIN19%
Draw no bet
Home75%Fair odds 1.34
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.559%
Both teams to score
Yes58%
Champions League
BarcelonaAston Villa
BAR60%Draw20%AVL21%
Draw no bet
Home74%Fair odds 1.35
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.575%
Both teams to score
Yes71%
Liga Profesional
LanúsGimnasia (Mendoza)
LAN52%Draw29%GMZ18%
Draw no bet
Home74%Fair odds 1.35
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.564%
Both teams to score
No60%
Primeira Liga
AroucaC.D. Nacional
FCA55%Draw25%CDN20%
Draw no bet
Home73%Fair odds 1.36
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.551%
Both teams to score
Yes52%
Championship
Queens Park RangersBurnley
QPR55%Draw23%BUR22%
Draw no bet
Home72%Fair odds 1.39
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.561%
Both teams to score
Yes60%
Champions League
VillarrealParis Saint-Germain
VIL23%Draw22%PSG55%
Draw no bet
Away70%Fair odds 1.42
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.568%
Both teams to score
Yes66%
La Liga
DeportivoOsasuna
DEP51%Draw26%OSA22%
Draw no bet
Home70%Fair odds 1.44
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.550%
Both teams to score
Yes52%
Liga MX
SantosNecaxa
SAN51%Draw25%NCX24%
Draw no bet
Home68%Fair odds 1.47
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.559%
Both teams to score
Yes60%
La Liga
ElcheValencia
ELC48%Draw27%VAL24%
Draw no bet
Home67%Fair odds 1.50
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.552%
Both teams to score
Yes52%
Liga Profesional
Independiente RivadaviaBanfield
RIV50%Draw25%BAN25%
Draw no bet
Home67%Fair odds 1.50
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.556%
Both teams to score
Yes58%
Liga Profesional
Boca JuniorsRiver Plate
CABJ48%Draw29%RIV24%
Draw no bet
Home67%Fair odds 1.50
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.557%
Both teams to score
No52%
Champions League
Bodo/GlimtLille
BODO49%Draw26%LILL25%
Draw no bet
Home66%Fair odds 1.51
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.554%
Both teams to score
Yes57%
Brasileirão
InternacionalCoritiba
INT48%Draw27%CFC25%
Draw no bet
Home65%Fair odds 1.53
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.551%
Both teams to score
Yes53%
Primeira Liga
MaritimoSanta Clara
MAR25%Draw27%CDSC47%
Draw no bet
Away65%Fair odds 1.53
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.552%
Both teams to score
Yes52%
Premier League
LiverpoolArsenal
LIV25%Draw29%ARS46%
Draw no bet
Away65%Fair odds 1.54
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.556%
Both teams to score
No51%
Premier League
Newcastle UnitedEverton
NEW48%Draw27%EVE26%
Draw no bet
Home65%Fair odds 1.54
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.552%
Both teams to score
Yes55%
Championship
Preston North EndSheffield United
PNE26%Draw26%SHU48%
Draw no bet
Away65%Fair odds 1.54
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.553%
Both teams to score
Yes56%
Ligue 1
LorientBrest
LOR46%Draw28%BRE26%
Draw no bet
Home64%Fair odds 1.56
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.555%
Both teams to score
Yes50%
Primeira Liga
Gil VicenteVitória de Guimaraes
GVFC44%Draw31%VSC25%
Draw no bet
Home64%Fair odds 1.56
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.563%
Both teams to score
No56%
Brasileirão
ChapecoenseMirassol
CHA27%Draw26%MIR47%
Draw no bet
Away64%Fair odds 1.56
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.553%
Both teams to score
Yes56%
Ligue 1
MarseilleToulouse
OLM48%Draw24%TOU27%
Draw no bet
Home64%Fair odds 1.57
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.562%
Both teams to score
Yes63%
Champions League
GalatasarayVfB Stuttgart
GAL49%Draw22%VFB29%
Draw no bet
Home63%Fair odds 1.58
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.571%
Both teams to score
Yes70%
Bundesliga
Eintracht FrankfurtHamburg SV
SGE48%Draw25%HSV28%
Draw no bet
Home63%Fair odds 1.58
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.560%
Both teams to score
Yes62%
Serie A
SassuoloFiorentina
SAS47%Draw26%FIO28%
Draw no bet
Home63%Fair odds 1.59
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.557%
Both teams to score
Yes60%
Championship
West Bromwich AlbionSouthampton
WBA27%Draw28%SOU45%
Draw no bet
Away62%Fair odds 1.60
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.553%
Both teams to score
Yes52%
Serie A
JuventusNapoli
JUV45%Draw27%NAP28%
Draw no bet
Home62%Fair odds 1.61
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.551%
Both teams to score
Yes55%
Primeira Liga
BragaFC Famalicao
SCB44%Draw29%FCF27%
Draw no bet
Home62%Fair odds 1.61
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.556%
Both teams to score
No50%
Championship
Birmingham CityMillwall
BIR45%Draw28%MIL28%
Draw no bet
Home62%Fair odds 1.62
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.551%
Both teams to score
Yes54%
Liga Profesional
Defensa y JusticiaIndependiente
DYJ43%Draw29%IND27%
Draw no bet
Home61%Fair odds 1.63
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.557%
Both teams to score
No51%
Süper Lig
KasimpasaBesiktas
KAS29%Draw27%BES44%
Draw no bet
Away61%Fair odds 1.65
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.550%
Both teams to score
Yes55%
Champions League
Atlético MadridBayern Munich
ATM31%Draw23%MUN46%
Draw no bet
Away60%Fair odds 1.68
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.571%
Both teams to score
Yes71%
Ligue 1
Paris FCAS Monaco
PAR42%Draw27%MON30%
Draw no bet
Home58%Fair odds 1.72
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.552%
Both teams to score
Yes56%
Championship
Blackburn RoversStoke City
BLK39%Draw30%STK31%
Draw no bet
Home55%Fair odds 1.80
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.558%
Both teams to score
No51%
Championship
WatfordLincoln City
WAT40%Draw28%LCN32%
Draw no bet
Home55%Fair odds 1.80
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.550%
Both teams to score
Yes55%
Liga Profesional
Newell's Old BoysUnión (Santa Fe)
NOB39%Draw28%USF32%
Draw no bet
Home55%Fair odds 1.82
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.551%
Both teams to score
Yes54%
Champions League
Manchester UnitedAS Roma
MAN34%Draw25%ROMA41%
Draw no bet
Away55%Fair odds 1.83
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.562%
Both teams to score
Yes64%
Brasileirão
Red Bull BragantinoSantos
BRA39%Draw28%SAN33%
Draw no bet
Home54%Fair odds 1.86
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.551%
Both teams to score
Yes55%
Championship
Charlton AthleticBolton Wanderers
CHA38%Draw28%BOL34%
Draw no bet
Home52%Fair odds 1.91
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.551%
Both teams to score
Yes56%
Championship
Derby CountyNorwich City
DER36%Draw26%NOR38%
Draw no bet
Away52%Fair odds 1.93
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.558%
Both teams to score
Yes61%
Süper Lig
GenclerbirligiAlanyaspor
GEN33%Draw31%ALA36%
Draw no bet
Away52%Fair odds 1.93
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.561%
Both teams to score
No54%
MLS
Atlanta United FCToronto FC
ATL39%Draw26%TOR36%
Draw no bet
Home52%Fair odds 1.93
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.559%
Both teams to score
Yes63%
Serie A
LecceGenoa
LEC33%Draw32%GEN35%
Draw no bet
Away52%Fair odds 1.94
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.564%
Both teams to score
No55%
Champions League
Feyenoord RotterdamInternazionale
FEY40%Draw23%INT37%
Draw no bet
Home51%Fair odds 1.95
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.571%
Both teams to score
Yes71%
La Liga
Athletic ClubReal Sociedad
ATH37%Draw25%RSO38%
Draw no bet
Away50%Fair odds 1.99
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.563%
Both teams to score
Yes65%
Championship
PortsmouthSwansea City
POR35%Draw30%SWA35%
Draw no bet
Away50%Fair odds 1.99
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.557%
Both teams to score
No51%

About this market

With draw no bet, you back a team to win and get your stake back if the game is drawn. It sits between the 1X2 market and double chance: better odds than double chance, less risk than a straight win. The probability we show is the team’s win chance once draws are removed, which is how the bet effectively settles.

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Frequently asked questions

What happens to a draw no bet if the match is drawn?

Your stake is returned. You only win if your team wins, and only lose if they lose.

When is draw no bet better than double chance?

When the favourite is strong but the draw is still a real possibility. You get longer odds than double chance and lose nothing on the draw.