Champions League predictions

Every Champions League fixture in the next seven days, with the model's probabilities for the result, goals and the most likely score.

Predictions updated 1 Nov, 15:28. Refreshed every hour.


Tuesday 3 November

GAL49%Draw22%VFB29%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.571%
Both teams to score
Yes70%
Correct score
1-19%
BAR60%Draw20%AVL21%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.575%
Both teams to score
Yes71%
Correct score
2-19%
BODO49%Draw26%LILL25%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.554%
Both teams to score
Yes57%
Correct score
1-112%
MAN34%Draw25%ROMA41%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.562%
Both teams to score
Yes64%
Correct score
1-111%

Wednesday 4 November

FEN34%Draw24%LIV42%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.567%
Both teams to score
Yes68%
Correct score
1-110%
FCP57%Draw26%NAP18%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.552%
Both teams to score
No51%
Correct score
1-112%
RCL29%Draw26%COMO45%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.557%
Both teams to score
Yes60%
Correct score
1-112%
PSV61%Draw18%BRU21%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.583%
Both teams to score
Yes78%
Correct score
2-17%
SLP8%Draw18%ARS75%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.555%
Both teams to score
No59%
Correct score
0-215%

4 matches not shown: at least one team in each has too few recent results in the leagues we cover for a reliable prediction.

Champions League through the model’s eyes

Champions League matches bring together teams that never meet domestically, which is where a single cross-league model earns its keep. Every team is rated from all of its matches, so a Dutch or Portuguese champion is measured against the same scale as a Premier League side. Expect the confident picks to come from mismatches between the elite clubs and sides from smaller leagues.

Recent Champions League results and how our picks did

Results with our graded picks appear here after each match finishes.

Other leagues


Frequently asked questions

When are Champions League predictions published?

As soon as a fixture is scheduled, up to a week ahead. They refresh every hour and freeze at kick-off.

How do you compare teams from different leagues?

With one model across all competitions. European matches link the leagues together, so the ratings are on a single scale.

Do predictions cover extra time and penalties?

No. Every market is for the 90 minutes plus stoppage time, which is how bookmakers settle them.

Is home advantage the same in the Champions League?

The model applies the home advantage it learns across all competitions. Neutral-venue finals are an exception and are treated with caution.