Ligue 1 predictions

Every Ligue 1 fixture in the next seven days, with the model's probabilities for the result, goals and the most likely score.

Predictions updated 1 Nov, 15:28. Refreshed every hour.


Today, Sunday 1 November

STR53%Draw23%AUX24%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.564%
Both teams to score
Yes63%
Correct score
1-110%
LYON67%Draw21%ANG12%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.554%
Both teams to score
No53%
Correct score
2-013%
PAR42%Draw27%MON30%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.552%
Both teams to score
Yes56%
Correct score
1-113%
OLM48%Draw24%TOU27%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.562%
Both teams to score
Yes63%
Correct score
1-111%

Tomorrow, Monday 2 November

LOR46%Draw28%BRE26%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.555%
Both teams to score
Yes50%
Correct score
1-113%

Friday 6 November

TOU45%Draw24%STR30%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.563%
Both teams to score
Yes65%
Correct score
1-111%

Saturday 7 November

AUX31%Draw28%PAR41%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.550%
Both teams to score
Yes55%
Correct score
1-113%

Sunday 8 November

REN45%Draw26%LILL30%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.557%
Both teams to score
Yes60%
Correct score
1-112%

Ligue 1 through the model’s eyes

Ligue 1 is top-heavy: one or two clubs dominate while the rest are tightly packed, which gives very confident picks in some fixtures and genuinely open ones in others. The model reflects that spread, so you will often see the highest-probability home wins of the weekend here alongside matches where all three chips are close.

Recent Ligue 1 results and how our picks did

Sun 25 Oct, FTBacktest
Toulouse0Troyes0
TOU71%Draw18%TRY11%
Match result (1X2)
Home71%✗
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.563%✗
Both teams to score
Yes53%✗
Sun 25 Oct, FTBacktest
Stade Rennais3Strasbourg0
REN51%Draw21%STR27%
Match result (1X2)
Home51%✓
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.575%✓
Both teams to score
Yes73%✗
Sun 25 Oct, FTBacktest
Marseille4Le Havre AC3
OLM57%Draw25%HAC17%
Match result (1X2)
Home57%✓
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.552%✗
Both teams to score
No51%✗
Sun 25 Oct, FTBacktest
Angers0Lorient0
ANG25%Draw29%LOR46%
Match result (1X2)
Away46%✗
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.558%✓
Both teams to score
No52%✓
Sun 25 Oct, FTBacktest
AJ Auxerre1Le Mans1
AUX46%Draw25%MNS29%
Match result (1X2)
Home46%✗
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.562%✗
Both teams to score
Yes64%✓
Sun 25 Oct, FTBacktest
AS Monaco1Lille1
MON44%Draw29%LILL27%
Match result (1X2)
Home44%✗
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.555%✓
Both teams to score
Yes50%✓
Sat 24 Oct, FTBacktest
Lens2Paris FC1
RCL49%Draw25%PAR26%
Match result (1X2)
Home49%✓
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Over 2.557%✓
Both teams to score
Yes60%✓
Fri 23 Oct, FTBacktest
Brest1Nice2
BRE53%Draw26%NICE21%
Match result (1X2)
Home53%✗
Over/Under 2.5 goals
Under 2.550%✗
Both teams to score
Yes52%✓

Other leagues


Frequently asked questions

When are Ligue 1 predictions published?

As soon as a fixture is scheduled, up to a week ahead. They refresh every hour and freeze at kick-off.

Why are some Ligue 1 picks so confident?

Because the gap between the top club and the rest is large. When a dominant attack meets a weak defence, the model's win probability rises well above 70%.

Are Ligue 1 games high scoring?

Average, overall, but it varies a lot by fixture. The model prices each one individually.