Over 1.5 goals predictions

Every match in the next three days, strongest pick first.

Predictions updated 1 Nov, 15:28. Refreshed every hour.

Strongest pick first. Fair odds are 1 divided by the probability: if a bookmaker offers more than this, the model sees value.

Sun 1 Nov, 16:15La Liga

Racing SantanderReal Madrid

RAC9%Draw12%RMA79%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.594%Fair odds 1.06
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.583%
Both teams to score: Yes66%

Tue 3 Nov, 21:00Champions League

BarcelonaAston Villa

BAR60%Draw20%AVL21%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.591%Fair odds 1.10
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.575%
Both teams to score: Yes71%

Mon 2 Nov, 01:00MLS

New England RevolutionInter Miami CF

NE39%Draw23%MIA38%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.589%Fair odds 1.12
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.572%
Both teams to score: Yes72%

Tue 3 Nov, 18:45Champions League

GalatasarayVfB Stuttgart

GAL49%Draw22%VFB29%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.589%Fair odds 1.12
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.571%
Both teams to score: Yes70%

Tue 3 Nov, 21:00Champions League

Feyenoord RotterdamInternazionale

FEY40%Draw23%INT37%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.589%Fair odds 1.13
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.571%
Both teams to score: Yes71%

Tue 3 Nov, 21:00Champions League

Atlético MadridBayern Munich

ATM31%Draw23%MUN46%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.589%Fair odds 1.13
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.571%
Both teams to score: Yes71%

Sun 1 Nov, 16:45Eredivisie

FC GroningenSparta Rotterdam

GRO63%Draw20%SPA17%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.588%Fair odds 1.13
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.570%
Both teams to score: Yes64%

Tue 3 Nov, 21:00Champions League

VillarrealParis Saint-Germain

VIL23%Draw22%PSG55%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.587%Fair odds 1.15
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.568%
Both teams to score: Yes66%

Mon 2 Nov, 02:10Liga MX

Cruz AzulLeón

CAZ64%Draw20%LEO16%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.587%Fair odds 1.16
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.567%
Both teams to score: Yes61%

Mon 2 Nov, 21:15Primeira Liga

BenficaAlverca

SLB77%Draw15%ALV8%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.586%Fair odds 1.16
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.567%
Both teams to score: Yes51%

Sun 1 Nov, 21:00La Liga

Athletic ClubReal Sociedad

ATH37%Draw25%RSO38%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.584%Fair odds 1.19
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.563%
Both teams to score: Yes65%

Sun 1 Nov, 20:45Ligue 1

MarseilleToulouse

OLM48%Draw24%TOU27%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.584%Fair odds 1.19
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.562%
Both teams to score: Yes63%

Tue 3 Nov, 21:00Champions League

Manchester UnitedAS Roma

MAN34%Draw25%ROMA41%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.583%Fair odds 1.20
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.562%
Both teams to score: Yes64%

Tue 3 Nov, 20:45Championship

Queens Park RangersBurnley

QPR55%Draw23%BUR22%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.583%Fair odds 1.21
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.561%
Both teams to score: Yes60%

Sun 1 Nov, 17:30Bundesliga

Eintracht FrankfurtHamburg SV

SGE48%Draw25%HSV28%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.582%Fair odds 1.21
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.560%
Both teams to score: Yes62%

Sun 1 Nov, 22:30MLS

Atlanta United FCToronto FC

ATL39%Draw26%TOR36%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.582%Fair odds 1.22
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.559%
Both teams to score: Yes63%

Sun 1 Nov, 19:00Primeira Liga

Académico de ViseuRio Ave

ACV71%Draw19%RAFC10%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.582%Fair odds 1.22
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.559%
Both teams to score: No51%

Mon 2 Nov, 02:30MLS

LAFCMinnesota United FC

LAFC57%Draw23%MIN19%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.582%Fair odds 1.22
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.559%
Both teams to score: Yes58%

Mon 2 Nov, 00:00Liga MX

SantosNecaxa

SAN51%Draw25%NCX24%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.582%Fair odds 1.23
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.559%
Both teams to score: Yes60%

Tue 3 Nov, 20:45Championship

Derby CountyNorwich City

DER36%Draw26%NOR38%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.581%Fair odds 1.24
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.558%
Both teams to score: Yes61%

Mon 2 Nov, 18:30Serie A

SassuoloFiorentina

SAS47%Draw26%FIO28%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.581%Fair odds 1.24
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.557%
Both teams to score: Yes60%

Tue 3 Nov, 01:15Liga Profesional

Independiente RivadaviaBanfield

RIV50%Draw25%BAN25%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.580%Fair odds 1.25
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.556%
Both teams to score: Yes58%

Tue 3 Nov, 21:00Champions League

Bodo/GlimtLille

BODO49%Draw26%LILL25%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.579%Fair odds 1.27
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.554%
Both teams to score: Yes57%

Sun 1 Nov, 17:15Ligue 1

LyonAngers

LYON67%Draw21%ANG12%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.578%Fair odds 1.28
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.554%
Both teams to score: No53%

Sun 1 Nov, 22:30MLS

Nashville SCRed Bull New York

NSH71%Draw20%RBNY10%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.578%Fair odds 1.28
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.554%
Both teams to score: No56%

Tue 3 Nov, 23:30Brasileirão

ChapecoenseMirassol

CHA27%Draw26%MIR47%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.578%Fair odds 1.29
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.553%
Both teams to score: Yes56%

Tue 3 Nov, 20:45Championship

Preston North EndSheffield United

PNE26%Draw26%SHU48%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.578%Fair odds 1.29
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.553%
Both teams to score: Yes56%

Mon 2 Nov, 21:00Premier League

Newcastle UnitedEverton

NEW48%Draw27%EVE26%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.577%Fair odds 1.30
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.552%
Both teams to score: Yes55%

Sun 1 Nov, 17:15Ligue 1

Paris FCAS Monaco

PAR42%Draw27%MON30%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.577%Fair odds 1.30
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.552%
Both teams to score: Yes56%

Mon 2 Nov, 03:45MLS

Portland TimbersHouston Dynamo FC

POR39%Draw28%HOU33%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.577%Fair odds 1.31
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.551%
Both teams to score: Yes56%

Tue 3 Nov, 20:45Championship

Charlton AthleticBolton Wanderers

CHA38%Draw28%BOL34%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.576%Fair odds 1.31
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.551%
Both teams to score: Yes56%

Sun 1 Nov, 20:45Serie A

JuventusNapoli

JUV45%Draw27%NAP28%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.576%Fair odds 1.32
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.551%
Both teams to score: Yes55%

Sun 1 Nov, 16:30Primeira Liga

AroucaC.D. Nacional

FCA55%Draw25%CDN20%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.576%Fair odds 1.32
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.551%
Both teams to score: Yes52%

Sun 1 Nov, 17:00Süper Lig

KasimpasaBesiktas

KAS29%Draw27%BES44%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.576%Fair odds 1.32
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.550%
Both teams to score: Yes55%

Tue 3 Nov, 20:45Championship

WatfordLincoln City

WAT40%Draw28%LCN32%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.576%Fair odds 1.32
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.550%
Both teams to score: Yes55%

Sun 1 Nov, 21:30MLS

Vancouver WhitecapsSeattle Sounders FC

VAN60%Draw24%SEA16%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.576%Fair odds 1.32
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Over 2.550%
Both teams to score: No51%

Mon 2 Nov, 21:00La Liga

DeportivoOsasuna

DEP51%Draw26%OSA22%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.575%Fair odds 1.33
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.550%
Both teams to score: Yes52%

Tue 3 Nov, 00:00Brasileirão

Red Bull BragantinoSantos

BRA39%Draw28%SAN33%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.575%Fair odds 1.33
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.551%
Both teams to score: Yes55%

Sun 1 Nov, 22:30Liga Profesional

Newell's Old BoysUnión (Santa Fe)

NOB39%Draw28%USF32%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.575%Fair odds 1.33
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.551%
Both teams to score: Yes54%

Tue 3 Nov, 21:00Championship

Birmingham CityMillwall

BIR45%Draw28%MIL28%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.575%Fair odds 1.33
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.551%
Both teams to score: Yes54%

Wed 4 Nov, 01:30Brasileirão

InternacionalCoritiba

INT48%Draw27%CFC25%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.575%Fair odds 1.34
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.551%
Both teams to score: Yes53%

Sun 1 Nov, 19:00Primeira Liga

MaritimoSanta Clara

MAR25%Draw27%CDSC47%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.574%Fair odds 1.35
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.552%
Both teams to score: Yes52%

Sun 1 Nov, 18:30La Liga

ElcheValencia

ELC48%Draw27%VAL24%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.574%Fair odds 1.35
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.552%
Both teams to score: Yes52%

Tue 3 Nov, 21:00Championship

West Bromwich AlbionSouthampton

WBA27%Draw28%SOU45%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.574%Fair odds 1.36
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.553%
Both teams to score: Yes52%

Mon 2 Nov, 20:45Ligue 1

LorientBrest

LOR46%Draw28%BRE26%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.572%Fair odds 1.39
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.555%
Both teams to score: Yes50%

Sun 1 Nov, 21:30Primeira Liga

BragaFC Famalicao

SCB44%Draw29%FCF27%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.571%Fair odds 1.41
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.556%
Both teams to score: No50%

Sun 1 Nov, 17:30Premier League

LiverpoolArsenal

LIV25%Draw29%ARS46%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.571%Fair odds 1.41
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.556%
Both teams to score: No51%

Mon 2 Nov, 23:00Liga Profesional

Defensa y JusticiaIndependiente

DYJ43%Draw29%IND27%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.570%Fair odds 1.42
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.557%
Both teams to score: No51%

Sun 1 Nov, 19:00Liga Profesional

Boca JuniorsRiver Plate

CABJ48%Draw29%RIV24%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.570%Fair odds 1.42
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.557%
Both teams to score: No52%

Tue 3 Nov, 20:45Championship

PortsmouthSwansea City

POR35%Draw30%SWA35%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.570%Fair odds 1.43
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.557%
Both teams to score: No51%

Tue 3 Nov, 20:45Championship

Blackburn RoversStoke City

BLK39%Draw30%STK31%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.570%Fair odds 1.44
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.558%
Both teams to score: No51%

Mon 2 Nov, 20:45Serie A

AtalantaParma

ATA59%Draw26%PAR15%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.568%Fair odds 1.47
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.559%
Both teams to score: No59%

Mon 2 Nov, 23:00Liga Profesional

PlatenseCentral Córdoba (Santiago del Estero)

PLA47%Draw30%CTR24%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.567%Fair odds 1.50
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.561%
Both teams to score: No55%

Mon 2 Nov, 18:00Süper Lig

GenclerbirligiAlanyaspor

GEN33%Draw31%ALA36%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.566%Fair odds 1.51
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.561%
Both teams to score: No54%

Mon 2 Nov, 21:15Primeira Liga

Gil VicenteVitória de Guimaraes

GVFC44%Draw31%VSC25%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.565%Fair odds 1.54
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.563%
Both teams to score: No56%

Sun 1 Nov, 18:00Serie A

LecceGenoa

LEC33%Draw32%GEN35%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.564%Fair odds 1.55
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.564%
Both teams to score: No55%

Mon 2 Nov, 00:45Liga Profesional

LanúsGimnasia (Mendoza)

LAN52%Draw29%GMZ18%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.564%Fair odds 1.57
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.564%
Both teams to score: No60%

Tue 3 Nov, 01:15Liga Profesional

Atlético TucumánArgentinos Juniors

CAT26%Draw33%ARGJ41%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.559%Fair odds 1.69
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.569%
Both teams to score: No61%

Sun 1 Nov, 22:30Liga Profesional

Belgrano (Córdoba)Barracas Central

BEL43%Draw35%BAR22%

Over/Under 1.5 goals: Over 1.551%Fair odds 1.96
Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under 2.576%
Both teams to score: No68%

About this market

Over 1.5 goals needs at least two goals in the match. It lands far more often than over 2.5, which makes it popular in accumulators, but the odds are short. Use the fair odds column to check you are being paid enough: an over 1.5 at 78% is fair at 1.28, so anything lower is the bookmaker taking an extra cut.

Other markets

Frequently asked questions

How often does over 1.5 goals come in?

In the big European leagues, most matches have two or more goals. The model gives each match its own probability, typically between 60% and 90%.

Is over 1.5 good for accumulators?

It is common in accumulators, but probabilities multiply: four picks at 80% each only all land about 41% of the time.