Aberdeen vs St Mirren prediction
Saturday 17 October 2026, 15:00, Pittodrie Stadium
Full time: 3-1
Our prediction
The model gives Aberdeen a 49% chance of winning, 30% for a draw and 21% for St Mirren. Expected goals: Aberdeen 1.4, St Mirren 0.8. Most likely score: 1-0.
ABE49%Draw30%STM21%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home49%✓Fair odds 2.02Double chanceHome or draw79%✓Fair odds 1.26Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.563%✗Fair odds 1.59Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.565%✓Fair odds 1.54Both teams to scoreNo58%✗Fair odds 1.73Correct score1-015%✗Fair odds 6.85Draw no betHome70%✓Fair odds 1.42Asian handicapAway +1.575%✗Fair odds 1.32Odd/Even goalsEven53%✓Fair odds 1.90First team to scoreHome55%✓Fair odds 1.81Win to nilHome33%✗Fair odds 3.07
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 65% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18% |
| Both teams score | 42% |
Most likely scores
- 1-014.6%
- 1-113.5%
- 0-012.3%
- 2-010.7%
- 2-18.6%
Recent form
Aberdeen
- LAberdeen 0-1 St Johnstone
- DHibernian 1-1 Aberdeen
- WMotherwell 0-4 Aberdeen
- DAberdeen 0-0 Kilmarnock
- LCeltic 3-0 Aberdeen
St Mirren
- LHeart of Midlothian 5-0 St Mirren
- LSt Mirren 0-3 Dundee United
- LRangers 1-0 St Mirren
- LSt Mirren 1-2 Celtic
- WKilmarnock 0-1 St Mirren
Head to head
- LAberdeen 0-2 St Mirren
- LSt Mirren 2-0 Aberdeen
- DAberdeen 3-3 St Mirren
- WSt Mirren 0-1 Aberdeen
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.