AFC Bournemouth vs Liverpool prediction
Sunday 20 September 2026, 14:00, Vitality Stadium
Full time: 0-1
Our prediction
The model gives AFC Bournemouth a 39% chance of winning, 27% for a draw and 34% for Liverpool. Expected goals: AFC Bournemouth 1.5, Liverpool 1.4. Most likely score: 1-1.
BOU39%Draw27%LIV34%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home39%✗Fair odds 2.57Double chanceEither team73%✓Fair odds 1.36Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.555%✗Fair odds 1.82Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.579%✗Fair odds 1.26Both teams to scoreYes59%✗Fair odds 1.69Correct score1-113%✗Fair odds 7.97Draw no betHome53%✗Fair odds 1.89Asian handicapAway +0.561%✓Fair odds 1.64Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome48%✗Fair odds 2.07Win to nilHome18%✗Fair odds 5.45
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% |
| Both teams score | 59% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.6%
- 2-18.7%
- 1-28.1%
- 1-07.4%
- 0-16.9%
Recent form
AFC Bournemouth
- WReal Sociedad 1-2 AFC Bournemouth
- DAFC Bournemouth 2-2 Brentford
- DNewcastle United 2-2 AFC Bournemouth
- DAFC Bournemouth 1-1 Everton
- LManchester City 2-1 AFC Bournemouth
Liverpool
- DLiverpool 0-0 Fulham
- WLiverpool 2-1 Atlético Madrid
- WIpswich Town 0-2 Liverpool
- DLiverpool 2-2 Nottingham Forest
- DNewcastle United 2-2 Liverpool
Head to head
- WAFC Bournemouth 3-2 Liverpool
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.