AFC Bournemouth vs Sunderland prediction
Sunday 18 October 2026, 14:00, Vitality Stadium
Full time: 2-0
Our prediction
The model gives AFC Bournemouth a 49% chance of winning, 27% for a draw and 24% for Sunderland. Expected goals: AFC Bournemouth 1.6, Sunderland 1.1. Most likely score: 1-1.
BOU49%Draw27%SUN24%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home49%✓Fair odds 2.04Double chanceHome or draw76%✓Fair odds 1.32Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.550%✗Fair odds 2.00Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.576%✓Fair odds 1.32Both teams to scoreYes53%✗Fair odds 1.87Correct score1-113%✗Fair odds 7.84Draw no betHome67%✓Fair odds 1.49Asian handicapAway +1.574%✗Fair odds 1.36Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome55%✓Fair odds 1.80Win to nilHome27%✓Fair odds 3.76
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Both teams score | 53% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.8%
- 1-010.1%
- 2-19.5%
- 2-08.9%
- 0-07.8%
Recent form
AFC Bournemouth
- WAFC Bournemouth 3-0 SK Sturm Graz
- LChelsea 5-1 AFC Bournemouth
- LAFC Bournemouth 0-1 Liverpool
- WReal Sociedad 1-2 AFC Bournemouth
- DAFC Bournemouth 2-2 Brentford
Sunderland
- WTorreense 1-2 Sunderland
- LSunderland 0-2 Brighton & Hove Albion
- LManchester City 5-3 Sunderland
- WSunderland 1-0 AZ Alkmaar
- LSunderland 0-2 Arsenal
Head to head
- DAFC Bournemouth 1-1 Sunderland
- LSunderland 3-2 AFC Bournemouth
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.