Al Ahli vs Al Riyadh prediction
Friday 4 September 2026, 19:00, Prince Abdullah Al-Faisal Stadium
Full time: 5-0
Our prediction
The model gives Al Ahli a 82% chance of winning, 12% for a draw and 6% for Al Riyadh. Expected goals: Al Ahli 2.9, Al Riyadh 0.7. Most likely score: 2-0.
AHL82%Draw12%RIY6%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home82%✓Fair odds 1.22Double chanceHome or draw95%✓Fair odds 1.06Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.570%✓Fair odds 1.44Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.588%✓Fair odds 1.14Both teams to scoreNo53%✓Fair odds 1.90Correct score2-012%✗Fair odds 8.60Draw no betHome94%✓Fair odds 1.07Asian handicapHome -1.563%✓Fair odds 1.58Odd/Even goalsEven51%✗Fair odds 1.96First team to scoreHome78%✓Fair odds 1.28Win to nilHome47%✓Fair odds 2.11
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 48% |
| Both teams score | 47% |
Most likely scores
- 2-011.6%
- 3-011.3%
- 4-08.2%
- 2-18%
- 3-17.7%
Recent form
Al Ahli
- LAl Hilal 3-0 Al Ahli
- LAl Kholood 3-1 Al Ahli
- WAl Ahli 4-0 Abha
- WAl Diriyah 0-1 Al Ahli
- WAl Khaleej 1-4 Al Ahli
Al Riyadh
- WAl Riyadh 1-0 Neom SC
- DAl Shabab 3-3 Al Riyadh
- LAl Riyadh 0-4 Al Nassr
- LAl Ettifaq 4-2 Al Riyadh
- WAl Riyadh 1-0 Al Okhdood
Head to head
- WAl Riyadh 0-1 Al Ahli
- DAl Ahli 1-1 Al Riyadh
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.