Al Nassr vs Abha prediction

Wednesday 9 September 2026, 19:00, Al-Awwal Park

Full time: 2-1

Our prediction

The model gives Al Nassr a 88% chance of winning, 9% for a draw and 3% for Abha. Expected goals: Al Nassr 3.4, Abha 0.6. Most likely score: 3-0.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals92%
Over 2.5 goals77%
Over 3.5 goals58%
Both teams score46%

Most likely scores

  • 3-011.6%
  • 2-010.1%
  • 4-010%
  • 3-17.3%
  • 5-06.9%

Recent form

Al Nassr

  • LAl Ittihad 2-1 Al Nassr
  • WAl Nassr 2-1 Al Taawoun
  • WAl Ettifaq 2-3 Al Nassr
  • WAl Riyadh 0-4 Al Nassr
  • WAl Nassr 3-0 Al Fateh

Abha

  • LAbha 0-1 Al Ettifaq
  • LAl Fayha 3-2 Abha
  • DAbha 1-1 Al Khaleej
  • LAl Ahli 4-0 Abha
  • LAbha 1-2 Al Hazem

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

More Saudi Pro League predictions