Arsenal vs Everton prediction
Saturday 24 October 2026, 15:00, Emirates Stadium
Full time: 2-0
Our prediction
The model gives Arsenal a 67% chance of winning, 24% for a draw and 10% for Everton. Expected goals: Arsenal 1.8, Everton 0.5. Most likely score: 1-0.
ARS67%Draw24%EVE10%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home67%✓Fair odds 1.50Double chanceHome or draw90%✓Fair odds 1.11Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.560%✓Fair odds 1.67Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.568%✓Fair odds 1.48Both teams to scoreNo65%✓Fair odds 1.54Correct score1-017%✗Fair odds 5.88Draw no betHome87%✓Fair odds 1.15Asian handicapHome -0.567%✓Fair odds 1.50Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome68%✓Fair odds 1.46Win to nilHome48%✓Fair odds 2.09
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% |
| Both teams score | 35% |
Most likely scores
- 1-017%
- 2-015.7%
- 0-010.8%
- 1-110.2%
- 3-09.2%
Recent form
Arsenal
- DBayern Munich 2-2 Arsenal
- WNottingham Forest 0-1 Arsenal
- WArsenal 3-0 Lille
- WArsenal 2-1 Leeds United
- LBrighton & Hove Albion 3-0 Arsenal
Everton
- LEverton 0-2 Chelsea
- DHull City 2-2 Everton
- WEverton 1-0 Ipswich Town
- DTottenham Hotspur 0-0 Everton
- DEverton 2-2 Manchester United
Head to head
- WArsenal 2-0 Everton
- WEverton 0-1 Arsenal
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.