Aston Villa vs Brentford prediction

Saturday 10 October 2026, 15:00, Villa Park

Full time: 2-2

Our prediction

The model gives Aston Villa a 45% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 28% for Brentford. Expected goals: Aston Villa 1.6, Brentford 1.2. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Both teams score58%

Most likely scores

  • 1-112.4%
  • 2-19.3%
  • 1-08.4%
  • 2-07.5%
  • 1-27.1%

Recent form

Aston Villa

  • WTottenham Hotspur 2-3 Aston Villa
  • LAston Villa 1-2 Nottingham Forest
  • WClub Brugge 2-3 Aston Villa
  • DHull City 0-0 Aston Villa
  • LAston Villa 0-1 Arsenal

Brentford

  • WBrentford 3-0 Chelsea
  • DAFC Bournemouth 2-2 Brentford
  • DBrentford 1-1 Sunderland
  • DLeeds United 1-1 Brentford
  • WBrentford 3-0 Tottenham Hotspur

Head to head

  • LAston Villa 0-1 Brentford

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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