Aston Villa vs Brentford prediction
Saturday 10 October 2026, 15:00, Villa Park
Full time: 2-2
Our prediction
The model gives Aston Villa a 45% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 28% for Brentford. Expected goals: Aston Villa 1.6, Brentford 1.2. Most likely score: 1-1.
AVL45%Draw26%BRE28%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home45%✗Fair odds 2.20Double chanceEither team74%✗Fair odds 1.36Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.554%✓Fair odds 1.84Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.579%✓Fair odds 1.27Both teams to scoreYes58%✓Fair odds 1.73Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.04Draw no betHome62%Fair odds 1.62Asian handicapAway +1.576%✓Fair odds 1.32Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome53%✗Fair odds 1.89Win to nilHome22%✗Fair odds 4.47
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% |
| Both teams score | 58% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.4%
- 2-19.3%
- 1-08.4%
- 2-07.5%
- 1-27.1%
Recent form
Aston Villa
- WTottenham Hotspur 2-3 Aston Villa
- LAston Villa 1-2 Nottingham Forest
- WClub Brugge 2-3 Aston Villa
- DHull City 0-0 Aston Villa
- LAston Villa 0-1 Arsenal
Brentford
- WBrentford 3-0 Chelsea
- DAFC Bournemouth 2-2 Brentford
- DBrentford 1-1 Sunderland
- DLeeds United 1-1 Brentford
- WBrentford 3-0 Tottenham Hotspur
Head to head
- LAston Villa 0-1 Brentford
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.