Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest prediction
Saturday 12 September 2026, 15:00, Villa Park
Full time: 1-2
Our prediction
The model gives Aston Villa a 47% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 25% for Nottingham Forest. Expected goals: Aston Villa 1.5, Nottingham Forest 1.0. Most likely score: 1-1.
AVL47%Draw28%NFO25%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home47%✗Fair odds 2.14Double chanceHome or draw75%✗Fair odds 1.33Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.555%✗Fair odds 1.81Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.572%✓Fair odds 1.40Both teams to scoreNo50%✗Fair odds 1.99Correct score1-113%✗Fair odds 7.43Draw no betHome65%✗Fair odds 1.54Asian handicapAway +1.576%✓Fair odds 1.31Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.91First team to scoreHome54%✗Fair odds 1.87Win to nilHome27%✗Fair odds 3.70
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% |
| Both teams score | 50% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113.5%
- 1-011.4%
- 0-09.5%
- 2-19.1%
- 2-09.1%
Recent form
Aston Villa
- WClub Brugge 2-3 Aston Villa
- DHull City 0-0 Aston Villa
- LAston Villa 0-1 Arsenal
- LBrighton & Hove Albion 4-0 Aston Villa
- WManchester City 1-2 Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
- DNottingham Forest 0-0 Tottenham Hotspur
- DLiverpool 2-2 Nottingham Forest
- LNottingham Forest 0-1 Leeds United
- DNottingham Forest 1-1 AFC Bournemouth
- LManchester United 3-2 Nottingham Forest
Head to head
- WAston Villa 4-0 Nottingham Forest
- LNottingham Forest 1-0 Aston Villa
- DNottingham Forest 1-1 Aston Villa
- WAston Villa 3-1 Nottingham Forest
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.