Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC prediction

Sunday 1 November 2026, 22:30, Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Our prediction

The model gives Atlanta United FC a 39% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 36% for Toronto FC. Expected goals: Atlanta United FC 1.6, Toronto FC 1.5. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals37%
Both teams score63%

Most likely scores

  • 1-111.8%
  • 2-18.6%
  • 1-28.2%
  • 2-26.5%
  • 1-06.3%

Recent form

Atlanta United FC

  • LNew York City FC 2-1 Atlanta United FC
  • LAtlanta United FC 2-3 Chicago Fire FC
  • LAtlanta United FC 1-3 Inter Miami CF
  • WCF Montréal 0-3 Atlanta United FC
  • LAtlanta United FC 1-3 FC Cincinnati

Toronto FC

  • WToronto FC 2-1 D.C. United
  • LColumbus Crew 4-2 Toronto FC
  • WRed Bull New York 0-2 Toronto FC
  • DToronto FC 3-3 Orlando City SC
  • WToronto FC 2-1 CF Montréal

Head to head

  • WToronto FC 1-2 Atlanta United FC

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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