Boca Juniors vs Defensa y Justicia prediction

Sunday 8 November 2026, 21:00, Alberto José Armando (La Bombonera)

Our prediction

The model gives Boca Juniors a 58% chance of winning, 25% for a draw and 17% for Defensa y Justicia. Expected goals: Boca Juniors 1.8, Defensa y Justicia 0.9. Most likely score: 1-0.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
Both teams score49%

Most likely scores

  • 1-012%
  • 1-111.9%
  • 2-011.3%
  • 2-19.7%
  • 0-08.2%

Recent form

Boca Juniors

  • WBoca Juniors 1-0 River Plate
  • WIndependiente 0-1 Boca Juniors
  • WBoca Juniors 2-1 Talleres (Córdoba)
  • DInstituto (Córdoba) 2-2 Boca Juniors
  • WBoca Juniors 3-0 Unión (Santa Fe)

Defensa y Justicia

  • DDefensa y Justicia 1-1 Independiente
  • WTalleres (Córdoba) 1-2 Defensa y Justicia
  • LDefensa y Justicia 0-1 Instituto (Córdoba)
  • WUnión (Santa Fe) 0-2 Defensa y Justicia
  • WDefensa y Justicia 3-0 San Lorenzo

Head to head

  • WDefensa y Justicia 0-4 Boca Juniors
  • LDefensa y Justicia 2-1 Boca Juniors

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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