Brentford vs Chelsea prediction
Friday 18 September 2026, 20:00, Gtech Community Stadium
Full time: 3-0
Our prediction
The model gives Brentford a 48% chance of winning, 24% for a draw and 28% for Chelsea. Expected goals: Brentford 1.9, Chelsea 1.4. Most likely score: 1-1.
BRE48%Draw24%CHE28%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home48%✓Fair odds 2.07Double chanceEither team76%✓Fair odds 1.31Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.564%✓Fair odds 1.57Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.585%✓Fair odds 1.18Both teams to scoreYes65%✗Fair odds 1.55Correct score1-111%✗Fair odds 9.39Draw no betHome64%✓Fair odds 1.57Asian handicapAway +1.572%✗Fair odds 1.38Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.94First team to scoreHome55%✓Fair odds 1.82Win to nilHome20%✓Fair odds 4.94
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% |
| Both teams score | 65% |
Most likely scores
- 1-110.7%
- 2-19.3%
- 1-26.9%
- 2-06.7%
- 2-26.5%
Recent form
Brentford
- DAFC Bournemouth 2-2 Brentford
- DBrentford 1-1 Sunderland
- DLeeds United 1-1 Brentford
- WBrentford 3-0 Tottenham Hotspur
- DLiverpool 1-1 Brentford
Chelsea
- DChelsea 2-2 Hull City
- LArsenal 2-1 Chelsea
- WChelsea 4-3 Brighton & Hove Albion
- WFulham 2-3 Chelsea
- LSunderland 2-1 Chelsea
Head to head
- LChelsea 2-0 Brentford
- DBrentford 2-2 Chelsea
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.