Brighton & Hove Albion vs Crystal Palace prediction

Sunday 18 October 2026, 14:00, American Express Stadium

Full time: 5-0

Our prediction

The model gives Brighton & Hove Albion a 65% chance of winning, 21% for a draw and 14% for Crystal Palace. Expected goals: Brighton & Hove Albion 2.2, Crystal Palace 0.9. Most likely score: 2-0.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Over 3.5 goals38%
Both teams score55%

Most likely scores

  • 2-010.6%
  • 2-19.9%
  • 1-19.7%
  • 1-08.9%
  • 3-07.7%

Recent form

Brighton & Hove Albion

  • WSunderland 0-2 Brighton & Hove Albion
  • WBrighton & Hove Albion 3-0 Arsenal
  • WCoventry City 0-5 Brighton & Hove Albion
  • DBrighton & Hove Albion 1-1 Leeds United
  • LChelsea 4-3 Brighton & Hove Albion

Crystal Palace

  • LLyon 3-2 Crystal Palace
  • WCrystal Palace 3-1 Nottingham Forest
  • DLeeds United 0-0 Crystal Palace
  • WCrystal Palace 4-0 Lech Poznan
  • LCrystal Palace 2-3 Ipswich Town

Head to head

  • LBrighton & Hove Albion 0-1 Crystal Palace
  • DCrystal Palace 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

More Premier League predictions