Chelsea vs Hull City prediction

Saturday 12 September 2026, 15:00, Stamford Bridge

Full time: 2-2

Our prediction

The model gives Chelsea a 44% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 30% for Hull City. Expected goals: Chelsea 1.6, Hull City 1.3. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Over 3.5 goals34%
Both teams score59%

Most likely scores

  • 1-112.2%
  • 2-19.2%
  • 1-07.8%
  • 1-27.4%
  • 2-07.1%

Recent form

Chelsea

  • LArsenal 2-1 Chelsea
  • WChelsea 4-3 Brighton & Hove Albion
  • WFulham 2-3 Chelsea
  • LSunderland 2-1 Chelsea
  • WChelsea 2-1 Tottenham Hotspur

Hull City

  • DHull City 0-0 Aston Villa
  • WCoventry City 0-1 Hull City
  • WHull City 2-0 Manchester United
  • WHull City 1-0 Middlesbrough
  • WMillwall 0-2 Hull City

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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