Coventry City vs Newcastle United prediction
Monday 12 October 2026, 20:00, Coventry Building Society Arena
Full time: 4-1
Our prediction
The model gives Coventry City a 44% chance of winning, 25% for a draw and 31% for Newcastle United. Expected goals: Coventry City 1.7, Newcastle United 1.4. Most likely score: 1-1.
COV44%Draw25%NEW31%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home44%✓Fair odds 2.29Double chanceEither team75%✓Fair odds 1.34Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.560%✓Fair odds 1.66Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.583%✓Fair odds 1.21Both teams to scoreYes63%✓Fair odds 1.60Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.67Draw no betHome58%✓Fair odds 1.71Asian handicapAway +0.556%✗Fair odds 1.78Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome52%✓Fair odds 1.93Win to nilHome19%✗Fair odds 5.22
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% |
| Both teams score | 63% |
Most likely scores
- 1-111.5%
- 2-19.1%
- 1-27.5%
- 1-06.7%
- 2-06.5%
Recent form
Coventry City
- WNottingham Forest 0-1 Coventry City
- LCoventry City 0-5 Brighton & Hove Albion
- LManchester City 1-0 Coventry City
- LCoventry City 0-1 Hull City
- LArsenal 3-0 Coventry City
Newcastle United
- WNewcastle United 2-1 Hull City
- LLeeds United 4-1 Newcastle United
- DNewcastle United 2-2 AFC Bournemouth
- WTottenham Hotspur 0-2 Newcastle United
- DNewcastle United 2-2 Liverpool
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.