Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United prediction

Sunday 25 October 2026, 15:00, Selhurst Park

Full time: 0-2

Our prediction

The model gives Crystal Palace a 36% chance of winning, 25% for a draw and 39% for Newcastle United. Expected goals: Crystal Palace 1.6, Newcastle United 1.7. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Over 3.5 goals42%
Both teams score66%

Most likely scores

  • 1-110.8%
  • 1-28.5%
  • 2-18.1%
  • 2-26.9%
  • 0-15.4%

Recent form

Crystal Palace

  • DBesiktas 2-2 Crystal Palace
  • LBrighton & Hove Albion 5-0 Crystal Palace
  • LLyon 3-2 Crystal Palace
  • WCrystal Palace 3-1 Nottingham Forest
  • DLeeds United 0-0 Crystal Palace

Newcastle United

  • LNewcastle United 0-1 Aston Villa
  • LCoventry City 4-1 Newcastle United
  • WNewcastle United 2-1 Hull City
  • LLeeds United 4-1 Newcastle United
  • DNewcastle United 2-2 AFC Bournemouth

Head to head

  • WCrystal Palace 2-1 Newcastle United
  • LNewcastle United 2-0 Crystal Palace

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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