Derby County vs Norwich City prediction
Tuesday 3 November 2026, 20:45, Pride Park
Our prediction
The model gives Derby County a 36% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 38% for Norwich City. Expected goals: Derby County 1.5, Norwich City 1.5. Most likely score: 1-1.
DER36%Draw26%NOR38%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away38%Fair odds 2.61Double chanceEither team74%Fair odds 1.35Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.558%Fair odds 1.74Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.581%Fair odds 1.24Both teams to scoreYes61%Fair odds 1.64Correct score1-112%Fair odds 8.25Draw no betAway52%Fair odds 1.93Asian handicapHome +0.562%Fair odds 1.62Odd/Even goalsEven52%Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreAway48%Fair odds 2.08Win to nilAway17%Fair odds 5.81
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% |
| Both teams score | 61% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.1%
- 1-28.6%
- 2-18.2%
- 0-16.8%
- 1-06.4%
Recent form
Derby County
- LMillwall 4-1 Derby County
- DSheffield United 1-1 Derby County
- LDerby County 0-1 Stoke City
- LQueens Park Rangers 4-1 Derby County
- DDerby County 1-1 Wrexham
Norwich City
- WNorwich City 3-2 Watford
- WCharlton Athletic 1-3 Norwich City
- LNorwich City 0-1 Portsmouth
- LNorwich City 0-1 Southampton
- LSwansea City 2-1 Norwich City
Head to head
- LNorwich City 2-1 Derby County
- WDerby County 1-0 Norwich City
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.