Dundee vs Motherwell prediction

Saturday 19 September 2026, 15:00, The Scot Foam Stadium at Dens Park

Full time: 2-1

Our prediction

The model gives Dundee a 26% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 46% for Motherwell. Expected goals: Dundee 1.0, Motherwell 1.4. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals45%
Over 3.5 goals23%
Both teams score50%

Most likely scores

  • 1-113.5%
  • 0-111.3%
  • 0-09.5%
  • 1-29.1%
  • 0-28.9%

Recent form

Dundee

  • LHeart of Midlothian 2-1 Dundee
  • DDundee 1-1 St Johnstone
  • LDundee 1-2 Hibernian
  • WDundee United 0-2 Dundee
  • WDundee 2-0 Aberdeen

Motherwell

  • LMotherwell 0-4 Aberdeen
  • LRangers 1-0 Motherwell
  • WMotherwell 3-0 Dundee United
  • DSt Mirren 3-3 Motherwell
  • DMotherwell 0-0 Falkirk

Head to head

  • WDundee 2-1 Motherwell
  • LMotherwell 1-0 Dundee
  • DDundee 1-1 Motherwell

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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