Everton vs Chelsea prediction
Saturday 17 October 2026, 12:30, Hill Dickinson Stadium
Full time: 0-2
Our prediction
The model gives Everton a 43% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 32% for Chelsea. Expected goals: Everton 1.7, Chelsea 1.4. Most likely score: 1-1.
EVE43%Draw26%CHE32%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home43%✗Fair odds 2.35Double chanceEither team74%✓Fair odds 1.34Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.559%✗Fair odds 1.70Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.582%✓Fair odds 1.22Both teams to scoreYes62%✗Fair odds 1.62Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.47Draw no betHome57%✗Fair odds 1.74Asian handicapAway +0.557%✓Fair odds 1.74Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome51%✗Fair odds 1.96Win to nilHome19%✗Fair odds 5.26
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% |
| Both teams score | 62% |
Most likely scores
- 1-111.8%
- 2-19%
- 1-27.7%
- 1-06.9%
- 2-06.4%
Recent form
Everton
- DHull City 2-2 Everton
- WEverton 1-0 Ipswich Town
- DTottenham Hotspur 0-0 Everton
- DEverton 2-2 Manchester United
- DAFC Bournemouth 1-1 Everton
Chelsea
- WChelsea 5-1 AFC Bournemouth
- LBrentford 3-0 Chelsea
- DChelsea 2-2 Hull City
- LArsenal 2-1 Chelsea
- WChelsea 4-3 Brighton & Hove Albion
Head to head
- WEverton 3-0 Chelsea
- LChelsea 2-0 Everton
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.