Everton vs Manchester United prediction
Sunday 6 September 2026, 14:00, Hill Dickinson Stadium
Full time: 2-2
Our prediction
The model gives Everton a 33% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 41% for Manchester United. Expected goals: Everton 1.4, Manchester United 1.6. Most likely score: 1-1.
EVE33%Draw26%MAN41%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away41%✗Fair odds 2.43Double chanceEither team74%✗Fair odds 1.36Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.556%✓Fair odds 1.77Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.580%✓Fair odds 1.25Both teams to scoreYes60%✓Fair odds 1.66Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.16Draw no betAway56%Fair odds 1.79Asian handicapHome +0.559%✓Fair odds 1.70Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreAway50%✓Fair odds 2.00Win to nilAway19%✗Fair odds 5.24
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% |
| Both teams score | 60% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.3%
- 1-28.9%
- 2-17.8%
- 0-17.3%
- 0-26.5%
Recent form
Everton
- DAFC Bournemouth 1-1 Everton
- WEverton 2-0 Crystal Palace
- LTottenham Hotspur 1-0 Everton
- LEverton 1-3 Sunderland
- DCrystal Palace 2-2 Everton
Manchester United
- WManchester United 5-2 Ipswich Town
- LHull City 2-0 Manchester United
- WBrighton & Hove Albion 0-3 Manchester United
- WManchester United 3-2 Nottingham Forest
- DSunderland 0-0 Manchester United
Head to head
- LEverton 0-1 Manchester United
- WManchester United 0-1 Everton
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.