Heart of Midlothian vs St Mirren prediction
Saturday 10 October 2026, 15:00, Tynecastle Park
Full time: 5-0
Our prediction
The model gives Heart of Midlothian a 67% chance of winning, 22% for a draw and 11% for St Mirren. Expected goals: Heart of Midlothian 1.9, St Mirren 0.6. Most likely score: 2-0.
HOM67%Draw22%STM11%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home67%✓Fair odds 1.48Double chanceHome or draw89%✓Fair odds 1.12Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.553%✗Fair odds 1.90Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.573%✓Fair odds 1.36Both teams to scoreNo59%✓Fair odds 1.70Correct score2-014%✗Fair odds 7.00Draw no betHome86%✓Fair odds 1.16Asian handicapHome -0.567%✓Fair odds 1.48Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome69%✓Fair odds 1.45Win to nilHome44%✓Fair odds 2.25
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Both teams score | 41% |
Most likely scores
- 2-014.3%
- 1-014.1%
- 1-110.2%
- 3-09.2%
- 2-19.1%
Recent form
Heart of Midlothian
- DKilmarnock 1-1 Heart of Midlothian
- LFalkirk 2-1 Heart of Midlothian
- WHeart of Midlothian 2-1 Dundee
- WHibernian 1-3 Heart of Midlothian
- WHeart of Midlothian 2-1 St Johnstone
St Mirren
- LSt Mirren 0-3 Dundee United
- LRangers 1-0 St Mirren
- LSt Mirren 1-2 Celtic
- WKilmarnock 0-1 St Mirren
- DSt Mirren 3-3 Motherwell
Head to head
- LSt Mirren 1-0 Heart of Midlothian
- WHeart of Midlothian 2-0 St Mirren
- DSt Mirren 2-2 Heart of Midlothian
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.