Hibernian vs Kilmarnock prediction

Tuesday 15 September 2026, 19:45, Easter Road

Full time: 0-1

Our prediction

The model gives Hibernian a 67% chance of winning, 19% for a draw and 14% for Kilmarnock. Expected goals: Hibernian 2.4, Kilmarnock 1.0. Most likely score: 2-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Over 3.5 goals45%
Both teams score59%

Most likely scores

  • 2-19.6%
  • 2-09.2%
  • 1-18.7%
  • 3-17.7%
  • 3-07.4%

Recent form

Hibernian

  • LSt Johnstone 2-1 Hibernian
  • LHibernian 1-3 Heart of Midlothian
  • WDundee 1-2 Hibernian
  • WRangers 1-2 Hibernian
  • LHibernian 1-2 Motherwell

Kilmarnock

  • DAberdeen 0-0 Kilmarnock
  • LKilmarnock 0-1 St Mirren
  • LKilmarnock 0-4 Dundee United
  • LKilmarnock 1-5 Celtic
  • LSt Johnstone 4-3 Kilmarnock

Head to head

  • WHibernian 3-0 Kilmarnock
  • WKilmarnock 1-3 Hibernian

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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