Hull City vs Aston Villa prediction
Saturday 5 September 2026, 17:30, The MKM Stadium
Full time: 0-0
Our prediction
The model gives Hull City a 36% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 36% for Aston Villa. Expected goals: Hull City 1.3, Aston Villa 1.3. Most likely score: 1-1.
HUL36%Draw28%AVL36%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away36%✗Fair odds 2.75Double chanceEither team72%✗Fair odds 1.39Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.550%✗Fair odds 2.00Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.576%✗Fair odds 1.32Both teams to scoreYes55%✗Fair odds 1.80Correct score1-113%✗Fair odds 7.51Draw no betAway50%Fair odds 1.99Asian handicapHome +0.564%✓Fair odds 1.57Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreAway46%✗Fair odds 2.16Win to nilAway19%✗Fair odds 5.40
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Both teams score | 55% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113.3%
- 1-28.3%
- 0-18.3%
- 2-18.2%
- 1-08.2%
Recent form
Hull City
- WCoventry City 0-1 Hull City
- WHull City 2-0 Manchester United
- WHull City 1-0 Middlesbrough
- WMillwall 0-2 Hull City
- DHull City 0-0 Millwall
Aston Villa
- LAston Villa 0-1 Arsenal
- LBrighton & Hove Albion 4-0 Aston Villa
- WManchester City 1-2 Aston Villa
- WSC Freiburg 0-3 Aston Villa
- WAston Villa 4-2 Liverpool
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.