Istanbul Basaksehir vs Galatasaray prediction
Friday 4 September 2026, 18:00, Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium
Full time: 2-3
Our prediction
The model gives Istanbul Basaksehir a 42% chance of winning, 25% for a draw and 33% for Galatasaray. Expected goals: Istanbul Basaksehir 1.7, Galatasaray 1.5. Most likely score: 1-1.
IBFK42%Draw25%GAL33%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home42%✗Fair odds 2.40Double chanceEither team75%✓Fair odds 1.34Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.560%✓Fair odds 1.66Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.583%✓Fair odds 1.21Both teams to scoreYes63%✓Fair odds 1.59Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.67Draw no betHome56%✗Fair odds 1.79Asian handicapAway +0.558%✓Fair odds 1.72Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome50%✗Fair odds 1.98Win to nilHome18%✗Fair odds 5.56
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% |
| Both teams score | 63% |
Most likely scores
- 1-111.5%
- 2-18.9%
- 1-27.8%
- 2-26.5%
- 1-06.5%
Recent form
Istanbul Basaksehir
- DIstanbul Basaksehir 1-1 Kasimpasa
- LTrabzonspor 2-1 Istanbul Basaksehir
- WIstanbul Basaksehir 2-0 Kocaelispor
- WGaziantep FK 1-2 Istanbul Basaksehir
- WIstanbul Basaksehir 3-0 Samsunspor
Galatasaray
- WGalatasaray 3-2 Goztepe
- WErzurum BB 0-4 Galatasaray
- DGalatasaray 2-2 Çorum FK
- LKasimpasa 1-0 Galatasaray
- WGalatasaray 4-2 Antalyaspor
Head to head
- LGalatasaray 3-0 Istanbul Basaksehir
- LIstanbul Basaksehir 1-2 Galatasaray
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.