Istanbul Basaksehir vs Galatasaray prediction

Friday 4 September 2026, 18:00, Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium

Full time: 2-3

Our prediction

The model gives Istanbul Basaksehir a 42% chance of winning, 25% for a draw and 33% for Galatasaray. Expected goals: Istanbul Basaksehir 1.7, Galatasaray 1.5. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals60%
Over 3.5 goals38%
Both teams score63%

Most likely scores

  • 1-111.5%
  • 2-18.9%
  • 1-27.8%
  • 2-26.5%
  • 1-06.5%

Recent form

Istanbul Basaksehir

  • DIstanbul Basaksehir 1-1 Kasimpasa
  • LTrabzonspor 2-1 Istanbul Basaksehir
  • WIstanbul Basaksehir 2-0 Kocaelispor
  • WGaziantep FK 1-2 Istanbul Basaksehir
  • WIstanbul Basaksehir 3-0 Samsunspor

Galatasaray

  • WGalatasaray 3-2 Goztepe
  • WErzurum BB 0-4 Galatasaray
  • DGalatasaray 2-2 Çorum FK
  • LKasimpasa 1-0 Galatasaray
  • WGalatasaray 4-2 Antalyaspor

Head to head

  • LGalatasaray 3-0 Istanbul Basaksehir
  • LIstanbul Basaksehir 1-2 Galatasaray

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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