Kilmarnock vs Motherwell prediction
Saturday 17 October 2026, 15:00, The BBSP Stadium
Full time: 3-2
Our prediction
The model gives Kilmarnock a 29% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 45% for Motherwell. Expected goals: Kilmarnock 1.3, Motherwell 1.7. Most likely score: 1-1.
KIL29%Draw26%MOT45%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away45%✗Fair odds 2.20Double chanceEither team74%✓Fair odds 1.35Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.556%✓Fair odds 1.78Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.580%✓Fair odds 1.25Both teams to scoreYes59%✓Fair odds 1.69Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.22Draw no betAway61%✗Fair odds 1.63Asian handicapHome +1.576%✓Fair odds 1.32Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreAway53%✗Fair odds 1.89Win to nilAway22%✗Fair odds 4.60
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% |
| Both teams score | 59% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.2%
- 1-29.3%
- 0-18%
- 0-27.3%
- 2-17.2%
Recent form
Kilmarnock
- LRangers 3-1 Kilmarnock
- DKilmarnock 1-1 Heart of Midlothian
- WHibernian 0-1 Kilmarnock
- DAberdeen 0-0 Kilmarnock
- LKilmarnock 0-1 St Mirren
Motherwell
- LMotherwell 0-2 Celtic
- LDundee 2-1 Motherwell
- LMotherwell 0-4 Aberdeen
- LRangers 1-0 Motherwell
- WMotherwell 3-0 Dundee United
Head to head
- LMotherwell 4-0 Kilmarnock
- LKilmarnock 1-3 Motherwell
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.