Leeds United vs Manchester United prediction
Sunday 18 October 2026, 14:00, Elland Road
Full time: 1-1
Our prediction
The model gives Leeds United a 38% chance of winning, 27% for a draw and 35% for Manchester United. Expected goals: Leeds United 1.4, Manchester United 1.4. Most likely score: 1-1.
LEE38%Draw27%MAN35%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home38%✗Fair odds 2.66Double chanceEither team73%✗Fair odds 1.38Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.552%✗Fair odds 1.92Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.577%✓Fair odds 1.30Both teams to scoreYes57%✓Fair odds 1.76Correct score1-113%✓Fair odds 7.69Draw no betHome52%Fair odds 1.93Asian handicapAway +0.562%✓Fair odds 1.60Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome47%✗Fair odds 2.11Win to nilHome19%✗Fair odds 5.38
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% |
| Both teams score | 57% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 2-18.5%
- 1-28.1%
- 1-08%
- 0-17.6%
Recent form
Leeds United
- LArsenal 2-1 Leeds United
- DLeeds United 0-0 Crystal Palace
- WLeeds United 4-1 Newcastle United
- DBrighton & Hove Albion 1-1 Leeds United
- DLeeds United 1-1 Brentford
Manchester United
- LAtlético Madrid 2-0 Manchester United
- DManchester United 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur
- DFulham 1-1 Manchester United
- LManchester United 0-1 Manchester City
- WManchester United 4-0 Sabah FK
Head to head
- WManchester United 1-2 Leeds United
- DLeeds United 1-1 Manchester United
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.