Leeds United vs Newcastle United prediction
Monday 14 September 2026, 20:00, Elland Road
Full time: 4-1
Our prediction
The model gives Leeds United a 41% chance of winning, 27% for a draw and 32% for Newcastle United. Expected goals: Leeds United 1.5, Newcastle United 1.3. Most likely score: 1-1.
LEE41%Draw27%NEW32%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home41%✓Fair odds 2.44Double chanceEither team73%✓Fair odds 1.37Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.554%✓Fair odds 1.87Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.578%✓Fair odds 1.28Both teams to scoreYes58%✓Fair odds 1.73Correct score1-113%✗Fair odds 7.86Draw no betHome56%✓Fair odds 1.79Asian handicapAway +0.559%✗Fair odds 1.69Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome50%✓Fair odds 2.01Win to nilHome20%✗Fair odds 5.01
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% |
| Both teams score | 58% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.7%
- 2-18.9%
- 1-08%
- 1-27.7%
- 0-06.9%
Recent form
Leeds United
- DBrighton & Hove Albion 1-1 Leeds United
- DLeeds United 1-1 Brentford
- WNottingham Forest 0-1 Leeds United
- LWest Ham United 3-0 Leeds United
- WLeeds United 1-0 Brighton & Hove Albion
Newcastle United
- DNewcastle United 2-2 AFC Bournemouth
- WTottenham Hotspur 0-2 Newcastle United
- DNewcastle United 2-2 Liverpool
- LFulham 2-0 Newcastle United
- WNewcastle United 3-1 West Ham United
Head to head
- LNewcastle United 4-3 Leeds United
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.