Liverpool vs Arsenal prediction

Sunday 1 November 2026, 17:30, Anfield

Full time: 0-1

Our prediction

The model gives Liverpool a 25% chance of winning, 29% for a draw and 46% for Arsenal. Expected goals: Liverpool 1.0, Arsenal 1.4. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals71%
Over 2.5 goals44%
Over 3.5 goals23%
Both teams score49%

Most likely scores

  • 1-113.6%
  • 0-111.7%
  • 0-09.8%
  • 0-29.1%
  • 1-29%

Recent form

Liverpool

  • WLiverpool 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion
  • WLiverpool 4-3 Villarreal
  • WBrentford 1-2 Liverpool
  • WLASK Linz 3-6 Liverpool
  • LLiverpool 0-3 Manchester City

Arsenal

  • WArsenal 2-0 Everton
  • DBayern Munich 2-2 Arsenal
  • WNottingham Forest 0-1 Arsenal
  • WArsenal 3-0 Lille
  • WArsenal 2-1 Leeds United

Head to head

  • DArsenal 0-0 Liverpool

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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