Liverpool vs Manchester City prediction
Sunday 11 October 2026, 16:30, Anfield
Full time: 0-3
Our prediction
The model gives Liverpool a 31% chance of winning, 27% for a draw and 41% for Manchester City. Expected goals: Liverpool 1.3, Manchester City 1.5. Most likely score: 1-1.
LIV31%Draw27%MNC41%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away41%✓Fair odds 2.41Double chanceEither team73%✓Fair odds 1.37Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.552%✓Fair odds 1.93Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.577%✓Fair odds 1.30Both teams to scoreYes57%✗Fair odds 1.77Correct score1-113%✗Fair odds 7.72Draw no betAway57%✓Fair odds 1.76Asian handicapHome +0.559%✗Fair odds 1.71Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreAway50%✓Fair odds 2.00Win to nilAway21%✓Fair odds 4.79
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% |
| Both teams score | 57% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 1-28.9%
- 0-18.5%
- 2-17.6%
- 0-07.3%
Recent form
Liverpool
- WAFC Bournemouth 0-1 Liverpool
- DLiverpool 0-0 Fulham
- WLiverpool 2-1 Atlético Madrid
- WIpswich Town 0-2 Liverpool
- DLiverpool 2-2 Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
- WManchester City 5-3 Sunderland
- WManchester United 0-1 Manchester City
- WFC Porto 0-2 Manchester City
- WManchester City 1-0 Coventry City
- WCrystal Palace 1-4 Manchester City
Head to head
- LLiverpool 1-2 Manchester City
- LManchester City 3-0 Liverpool
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.