Mainz vs Bayern Munich prediction
Saturday 7 November 2026, 15:30, MEWA ARENA
Our prediction
The model gives Mainz a 12% chance of winning, 14% for a draw and 75% for Bayern Munich. Expected goals: Mainz 1.4, Bayern Munich 3.4. Most likely score: 1-3.
M0512%Draw14%MUN75%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away75%Fair odds 1.34Double chanceAway or draw88%Fair odds 1.13Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.585%Fair odds 1.17Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.595%Fair odds 1.05Both teams to scoreYes73%Fair odds 1.38Correct score1-38%Fair odds 13.11Draw no betAway87%Fair odds 1.15Asian handicapAway -1.558%Fair odds 1.74Odd/Even goalsEven51%Fair odds 1.97First team to scoreAway70%Fair odds 1.43Win to nilAway24%Fair odds 4.18
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 95% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 85% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 70% |
| Both teams score | 73% |
Most likely scores
- 1-37.6%
- 1-26.8%
- 1-46.4%
- 0-35.5%
- 2-35.3%
Recent form
Mainz
- LSV Elversberg 4-1 Mainz
- LMainz 2-3 Werder Bremen
- WSchalke 04 0-1 Mainz
- LMainz 3-4 Bayer Leverkusen
- WBorussia Mönchengladbach 3-4 Mainz
Bayern Munich
- DBayern Munich 2-2 Borussia Dortmund
- WSC Freiburg 1-3 Bayern Munich
- DBayern Munich 2-2 Arsenal
- WBayern Munich 6-1 RB Leipzig
- DViking FK 3-3 Bayern Munich
Head to head
- LMainz 3-4 Bayern Munich
- DBayern Munich 2-2 Mainz
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.