Manchester City vs Ipswich Town prediction

Saturday 17 October 2026, 15:00, Etihad Stadium

Full time: 3-2

Our prediction

The model gives Manchester City a 70% chance of winning, 18% for a draw and 12% for Ipswich Town. Expected goals: Manchester City 2.4, Ipswich Town 0.9. Most likely score: 2-0.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals85%
Over 2.5 goals65%
Over 3.5 goals43%
Both teams score55%

Most likely scores

  • 2-010.4%
  • 2-19.5%
  • 3-08.5%
  • 1-18.5%
  • 1-08%

Recent form

Manchester City

  • LManchester City 2-4 Paris Saint-Germain
  • WLiverpool 0-3 Manchester City
  • WManchester City 5-3 Sunderland
  • WManchester United 0-1 Manchester City
  • WFC Porto 0-2 Manchester City

Ipswich Town

  • WIpswich Town 2-1 Fulham
  • LEverton 1-0 Ipswich Town
  • WCrystal Palace 2-3 Ipswich Town
  • LIpswich Town 0-2 Liverpool
  • LManchester United 5-2 Ipswich Town

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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