Manchester City vs Sunderland prediction
Sunday 20 September 2026, 14:00, Etihad Stadium
Full time: 5-3
Our prediction
The model gives Manchester City a 67% chance of winning, 22% for a draw and 11% for Sunderland. Expected goals: Manchester City 1.9, Sunderland 0.7. Most likely score: 2-0.
MNC67%Draw22%SUN11%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home67%✓Fair odds 1.50Double chanceHome or draw89%✓Fair odds 1.12Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.552%✗Fair odds 1.92Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.574%✓Fair odds 1.36Both teams to scoreNo58%✗Fair odds 1.72Correct score2-014%✗Fair odds 7.14Draw no betHome86%✓Fair odds 1.17Asian handicapHome -0.567%✓Fair odds 1.50Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome68%✓Fair odds 1.46Win to nilHome43%✗Fair odds 2.30
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Both teams score | 42% |
Most likely scores
- 2-014%
- 1-013.8%
- 1-110.3%
- 2-19.2%
- 3-09%
Recent form
Manchester City
- WManchester United 0-1 Manchester City
- WFC Porto 0-2 Manchester City
- WManchester City 1-0 Coventry City
- WCrystal Palace 1-4 Manchester City
- WManchester City 2-1 AFC Bournemouth
Sunderland
- WSunderland 1-0 AZ Alkmaar
- LSunderland 0-2 Arsenal
- DBrentford 1-1 Sunderland
- WSunderland 1-0 Fulham
- LIpswich Town 2-1 Sunderland
Head to head
- DSunderland 0-0 Manchester City
- WManchester City 3-0 Sunderland
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.