Manchester United vs AFC Bournemouth prediction

Sunday 25 October 2026, 15:00, Old Trafford

Full time: 0-3

Our prediction

The model gives Manchester United a 51% chance of winning, 25% for a draw and 25% for AFC Bournemouth. Expected goals: Manchester United 1.8, AFC Bournemouth 1.2. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals59%
Over 3.5 goals37%
Both teams score60%

Most likely scores

  • 1-111.4%
  • 2-19.7%
  • 2-07.8%
  • 1-07.7%
  • 1-26.5%

Recent form

Manchester United

  • LComo 4-1 Manchester United
  • DLeeds United 1-1 Manchester United
  • LAtlético Madrid 2-0 Manchester United
  • DManchester United 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur
  • DFulham 1-1 Manchester United

AFC Bournemouth

  • WAFC Bournemouth 3-0 AC Milan
  • WAFC Bournemouth 2-0 Sunderland
  • WAFC Bournemouth 3-0 SK Sturm Graz
  • LChelsea 5-1 AFC Bournemouth
  • LAFC Bournemouth 0-1 Liverpool

Head to head

  • DAFC Bournemouth 2-2 Manchester United
  • DManchester United 4-4 AFC Bournemouth

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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