Manchester United vs Manchester City prediction
Sunday 13 September 2026, 16:30, Old Trafford
Full time: 0-1
Our prediction
The model gives Manchester United a 34% chance of winning, 25% for a draw and 41% for Manchester City. Expected goals: Manchester United 1.5, Manchester City 1.7. Most likely score: 1-1.
MAN34%Draw25%MNC41%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away41%✓Fair odds 2.47Double chanceEither team75%✓Fair odds 1.34Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.561%✗Fair odds 1.64Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.583%✗Fair odds 1.20Both teams to scoreYes64%✗Fair odds 1.57Correct score1-111%✗Fair odds 8.76Draw no betAway54%✓Fair odds 1.85Asian handicapHome +0.559%✗Fair odds 1.68Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreAway50%✓Fair odds 2.01Win to nilAway17%✓Fair odds 5.86
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% |
| Both teams score | 64% |
Most likely scores
- 1-111.4%
- 1-28.7%
- 2-18%
- 2-26.6%
- 0-16.2%
Recent form
Manchester United
- WManchester United 4-0 Sabah FK
- DEverton 2-2 Manchester United
- WManchester United 5-2 Ipswich Town
- LHull City 2-0 Manchester United
- WBrighton & Hove Albion 0-3 Manchester United
Manchester City
- WFC Porto 0-2 Manchester City
- WManchester City 1-0 Coventry City
- WCrystal Palace 1-4 Manchester City
- WManchester City 2-1 AFC Bournemouth
- LManchester City 1-2 Aston Villa
Head to head
- WManchester United 2-0 Manchester City
- LManchester City 3-0 Manchester United
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.