Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction

Saturday 10 October 2026, 17:30, Old Trafford

Full time: 1-1

Our prediction

The model gives Manchester United a 64% chance of winning, 21% for a draw and 15% for Tottenham Hotspur. Expected goals: Manchester United 2.2, Tottenham Hotspur 1.0. Most likely score: 2-0.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Both teams score57%

Most likely scores

  • 2-09.9%
  • 2-19.9%
  • 1-19.7%
  • 1-08.2%
  • 3-07.3%

Recent form

Manchester United

  • DFulham 1-1 Manchester United
  • LManchester United 0-1 Manchester City
  • WManchester United 4-0 Sabah FK
  • DEverton 2-2 Manchester United
  • WManchester United 5-2 Ipswich Town

Tottenham Hotspur

  • LTottenham Hotspur 2-3 Aston Villa
  • DTottenham Hotspur 0-0 Everton
  • DNottingham Forest 0-0 Tottenham Hotspur
  • LTottenham Hotspur 0-2 Newcastle United
  • LBrentford 3-0 Tottenham Hotspur

Head to head

  • WManchester United 2-0 Tottenham Hotspur
  • DTottenham Hotspur 2-2 Manchester United

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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