Motherwell vs Aberdeen prediction
Tuesday 15 September 2026, 19:45, Fir Park
Full time: 0-4
Our prediction
The model gives Motherwell a 63% chance of winning, 24% for a draw and 13% for Aberdeen. Expected goals: Motherwell 1.8, Aberdeen 0.7. Most likely score: 1-0.
MOT63%Draw24%ABE13%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home63%✗Fair odds 1.59Double chanceHome or draw87%✗Fair odds 1.14Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.557%✗Fair odds 1.77Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.570%✓Fair odds 1.42Both teams to scoreNo59%✓Fair odds 1.69Correct score1-015%✗Fair odds 6.72Draw no betHome83%✗Fair odds 1.20Asian handicapHome -0.563%✗Fair odds 1.59Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome66%✗Fair odds 1.52Win to nilHome42%✗Fair odds 2.38
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% |
| Both teams score | 41% |
Most likely scores
- 1-014.9%
- 2-013.8%
- 1-111.2%
- 0-09.8%
- 2-19.1%
Recent form
Motherwell
- LRangers 1-0 Motherwell
- WMotherwell 3-0 Dundee United
- DSt Mirren 3-3 Motherwell
- DMotherwell 0-0 Falkirk
- WHibernian 1-2 Motherwell
Aberdeen
- DAberdeen 0-0 Kilmarnock
- LCeltic 3-0 Aberdeen
- LAberdeen 0-1 Rangers
- LDundee 2-0 Aberdeen
- WAberdeen 2-1 Heart of Midlothian
Head to head
- WMotherwell 2-0 Aberdeen
- DAberdeen 1-1 Motherwell
- WMotherwell 2-0 Aberdeen
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.