Motherwell vs Celtic prediction
Sunday 11 October 2026, 12:00, Fir Park
Full time: 0-2
Our prediction
The model gives Motherwell a 37% chance of winning, 27% for a draw and 37% for Celtic. Expected goals: Motherwell 1.4, Celtic 1.4. Most likely score: 1-1.
MOT37%Draw27%CEL37%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home37%✗Fair odds 2.73Double chanceEither team73%✓Fair odds 1.36Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.555%✗Fair odds 1.82Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.579%✓Fair odds 1.26Both teams to scoreYes59%✗Fair odds 1.69Correct score1-113%✗Fair odds 7.97Draw no betHome50%✗Fair odds 2.00Asian handicapAway +0.563%✓Fair odds 1.58Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome47%✗Fair odds 2.14Win to nilHome17%✗Fair odds 5.83
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% |
| Both teams score | 59% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.6%
- 2-18.4%
- 1-28.4%
- 1-07.1%
- 0-17.1%
Recent form
Motherwell
- LDundee 2-1 Motherwell
- LMotherwell 0-4 Aberdeen
- LRangers 1-0 Motherwell
- WMotherwell 3-0 Dundee United
- DSt Mirren 3-3 Motherwell
Celtic
- LCeltic 0-1 Rangers
- LCeltic 1-3 Ferencvaros
- WSt Johnstone 0-1 Celtic
- WSt Mirren 1-2 Celtic
- WCeltic 3-0 Aberdeen
Head to head
- LMotherwell 2-3 Celtic
- LCeltic 3-1 Motherwell
- WMotherwell 2-0 Celtic
- LCeltic 3-2 Motherwell
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.