Newcastle United vs AFC Bournemouth prediction
Saturday 5 September 2026, 12:30, St. James' Park
Full time: 2-2
Our prediction
The model gives Newcastle United a 45% chance of winning, 25% for a draw and 29% for AFC Bournemouth. Expected goals: Newcastle United 1.7, AFC Bournemouth 1.3. Most likely score: 1-1.
NEW45%Draw25%BOU29%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home45%✗Fair odds 2.20Double chanceEither team75%✗Fair odds 1.34Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.559%✓Fair odds 1.70Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.582%✓Fair odds 1.23Both teams to scoreYes61%✓Fair odds 1.63Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.52Draw no betHome61%Fair odds 1.64Asian handicapAway +1.575%✓Fair odds 1.33Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome53%✗Fair odds 1.89Win to nilHome21%✗Fair odds 4.84
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% |
| Both teams score | 61% |
Most likely scores
- 1-111.7%
- 2-19.3%
- 1-07.3%
- 1-27.3%
- 2-07%
Recent form
Newcastle United
- WTottenham Hotspur 0-2 Newcastle United
- DNewcastle United 2-2 Liverpool
- LFulham 2-0 Newcastle United
- WNewcastle United 3-1 West Ham United
- DNottingham Forest 1-1 Newcastle United
AFC Bournemouth
- DAFC Bournemouth 1-1 Everton
- LManchester City 2-1 AFC Bournemouth
- DNottingham Forest 1-1 AFC Bournemouth
- DAFC Bournemouth 1-1 Manchester City
- WFulham 0-1 AFC Bournemouth
Head to head
- LNewcastle United 1-2 AFC Bournemouth
- DAFC Bournemouth 0-0 Newcastle United
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.